Bases | Ballpark Pal

Park	Total	Away	Bases	Home	Bases
Globe Life Field	28.23	BOS	13.95	TEX	14.27
Chase Field	28.06	CHC	13.85	ARI	14.21
Rogers Centre	26.47	BAL	13.79	TOR	12.68
LoanDepot Park	25.66	PIT	13.79	MIA	11.87
Steinbrenner Field	25.44	COL	11.17	TB	14.27
Petco Park	25.06	ATL	11.95	SD	13.11
Dodger Stadium	24.34	DET	10.52	LAD	13.81
Daikin Park	24.20	NYM	12.33	HOU	11.87
T-Mobile Park	23.37	ATH	12.03	SEA	11.34

Park	Teams	Avg	< 16	16-21	22-27	28-33	34-39	40+
Globe Life Field	@	28.23	6%	17%	27%	25%	15%	11%
Chase Field	@	28.06	6%	19%	26%	24%	16%	10%
Rogers Centre	@	26.47	8%	22%	28%	23%	12%	7%
LoanDepot Park	@	25.66	9%	24%	29%	22%	11%	6%
Steinbrenner Field	@	25.44	11%	24%	28%	21%	11%	6%
Petco Park	@	25.06	11%	26%	28%	20%	9%	6%
Dodger Stadium	@	24.34	14%	26%	27%	19%	10%	4%
Daikin Park	@	24.20	14%	26%	28%	18%	9%	5%
T-Mobile Park	@	23.37	16%	28%	27%	18%	8%	3%

Away	Avg	Pitcher	< 8	8-12	13-17	18-22	23+
Rangers	14.27	Houck	12%	30%	31%	17%	10%
Rays	14.27	Freeland	11%	30%	32%	18%	8%
Diamondbacks	14.21	Taillon	12%	30%	30%	19%	9%
Red Sox	13.95	Leiter	14%	31%	29%	16%	10%
Cubs	13.85	Kelly	14%	30%	31%	17%	8%
Dodgers	13.81	Flaherty	13%	32%	30%	16%	8%
Pirates	13.79	Gillispie	15%	31%	29%	16%	9%
Orioles	13.79	Gausman	15%	31%	28%	17%	9%
Padres	13.11	Lopez	16%	34%	29%	15%	6%
Blue Jays	12.68	Morton	16%	36%	30%	13%	5%
Mets	12.33	Brown	23%	33%	24%	13%	6%
Athletics	12.03	Castillo	22%	36%	25%	12%	5%
Braves	11.95	Cease	23%	35%	26%	11%	5%
Marlins	11.87	Keller	20%	39%	27%	11%	3%
Astros	11.87	Megill	23%	35%	27%	11%	4%
Mariners	11.34	Springs	26%	37%	24%	10%	4%
Rockies	11.17	Pepiot	29%	34%	23%	10%	4%
Tigers	10.52	Yamamoto	33%	35%	21%	9%	2%

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		Actual			Expected		Meatballs
Team	Batter	Park	Opp	vs	Pitcher	Prob	BP	FD	DK	CZ	FN	B3	ES	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
TEX	Corey Seager	TEX		10	Houck	50.5%	-102	+100	+105	-103	+110	+110	+100	243	1.96	44	2.20	297.4	2.40	43.6	2.18	153	8.1%	27	9.0%
TB	Yandy Diaz	TB		10	Freeland	50.5%	-102	-130	-105	-117	-120	-105	-120	233	1.61	33	1.65	255.4	1.76	31.7	1.59	117	4.8%	7	2.4%
TOR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	TOR		10	Morton	47.9%	+109	-105	+100	-104	+105	-105	-105	335	2.11	35	1.75	360.5	2.27	42.4	2.12	150	5.8%	20	5.7%
SD	Luis Arraez	SD		9	Lopez	46.7%	+114	+100	+135	+139	+125	+150	+135	255	1.63	25	1.25	282.7	1.81	26.5	1.33	54	2.2%	5	1.6%
PIT	Tommy Pham	MIA		8	Gillispie	46.1%	+117	+110	+125	+112	+115	+115	+110	167	1.37	19	.95	180.9	1.48	22.2	1.11	102	5.2%	6	2.0%
BAL	Adley Rutschman	TOR		10	Gausman	46.1%	+117	+125	+130	+120	+140	+130	+120	224	1.48	29	1.45	247.3	1.64	26.2	1.31	65	2.5%	3	0.8%
BOS	Jarren Duran	TEX		10	Leiter	46.1%	+117	-120	-120	-117	-120	-116	-120	336	2.09	28	1.40	302.8	1.88	27.5	1.38	124	4.3%	5	1.6%
TB	Brandon Lowe	TB		6	Freeland	45.8%	+118	+120	+135	+133	+135	+145	+135	182	1.70	35	1.75	206.5	1.93	34.1	1.71	118	7.3%	16	6.1%
LAD	Shohei Ohtani	LAD		10	Flaherty	45.4%	+120	-120	-110	-117	-105	-120	-110	436	2.49	37	1.85	481.0	2.75	36.1	1.80	138	4.4%	13	3.5%
CHC	Nico Hoerner	ARI		10	Kelly	45.3%	+121	+125	+135	+139	+140	+150	+135	216	1.45	40	2.00	219.7	1.47	32.0	1.60	52	2.3%	5	1.8%
BAL	Jordan Westburg	TOR		9	Gausman	45.2%	+121	+100	+115	+108	+110	+110	+105	200	1.82	30	1.50	225.1	2.05	37.2	1.86	116	6.9%	15	4.5%
TB	Curtis Mead	TB		3	Freeland	45.2%	+121	+115	+115	+116	+135	+115	+115	35	.92	21	1.05	42.5	1.12	25.7	1.28	13	2.8%	6	2.3%
PIT	Bryan Reynolds	MIA		10	Gillispie	45.0%	+122	+100	+115	+112	+110	+120	+115	277	1.78	30	1.50	294.6	1.89	34.9	1.75	200	7.7%	25	7.3%
SD	Jackson Merrill	SD		10	Lopez	44.7%	+124	+120	+110	+116	+130	+115	+105	290	1.80	36	1.80	316.7	1.97	32.9	1.65	106	4.6%	13	5.1%
LAD	Mookie Betts	LAD		10	Flaherty	44.0%	+127	+125	+120	+120	+125	+130	+115	254	1.94	47	2.35	260.2	1.99	40.5	2.02	108	4.6%	12	3.6%
BOS	Rafael Devers	TEX		10	Leiter	44.0%	+127	-125	-105	-106	-105	+100	+100	271	1.96	13	.65	274.7	1.99	19.6	.98	88	3.7%	7	2.0%
LAD	Freddie Freeman	LAD		10	Flaherty	43.9%	+128	+120	+120	+126	+130	+125	+115	283	1.77	40	2.00	309.1	1.93	50.5	2.53	133	4.9%	13	4.2%
ARI	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	ARI		7	Taillon	43.8%	+128	-110	+120	+116	+115	+125	+120	223	1.68	38	1.90	242.7	1.82	32.3	1.61	77	3.7%	3	1.1%
BAL	Ryan Mountcastle	TOR		9	Gausman	43.3%	+131	+135	+130	+135		+145	+135	201	1.60	23	1.15	238.4	1.89	28.4	1.42	129	6.7%	10	3.6%
CHC	Kyle Tucker	ARI		10	Kelly	43.3%	+131	-105	+115	+112	+120	+120	+115	162	2.02	38	1.90	166.4	2.08	33.6	1.68	103	7.5%	16	4.8%
CHC	Ian Happ	ARI		9	Kelly	43.0%	+133	+120	+120	+120	+120	+125	+115	250	1.63	29	1.45	268.3	1.75	27.2	1.36	122	4.5%	21	5.5%
SD	Fernando Tatis Jr.	SD		8	Lopez	43.0%	+133	-105	+100	+100	+100	+100	+100	221	2.05	58	2.90	245.9	2.28	56.9	2.84	93	5.6%	11	3.5%
BOS	Alex Bregman	TEX		10	Leiter	42.9%	+133	+100	+105	+108	+110	+110	+105	266	1.81	36	1.80	295.0	2.01	41.2	2.06	97	4.0%	14	4.2%
ARI	Eugenio Suarez	ARI		7	Taillon	42.4%	+136	+125	+130	+159	+135	+135	+125	265	1.69	46	2.30	286.4	1.82	40.7	2.03	134	5.3%	17	5.3%
ARI	Corbin Carroll	ARI		5	Taillon	42.2%	+137	-125	-105	-113	+110	-105	-105	252	1.63	34	1.70	244.7	1.58	33.7	1.68	102	3.9%	16	4.2%
ARI	Josh Naylor	ARI		7	Taillon	41.9%	+139	+115	+125	+126	+135	+140	+125	268	1.64	20	1.00	284.3	1.74	21.7	1.09	124	5.1%	16	5.1%
ARI	Ketel Marte	ARI		8	Taillon	41.5%	+141	-135	+110	+108	-105	+115	+105	284	2.09	44	2.20	286.5	2.11	40.8	2.04	104	4.8%	19	5.5%
MIA	Xavier Edwards	MIA		3	Keller	41.4%	+142	-110	+115	+120	+115	+130	+120	112	1.60	35	1.75	88.1	1.26	21.9	1.10	40	3.4%	15	4.3%
TOR	Bo Bichette	TOR		3	Morton	41.3%	+142	+105	+105	-102	+110	-105	-110	100	1.25	17	.85	117.4	1.47	18.3	.91	47	4.0%	13	4.0%
TB	Junior Caminero	TB		-1	Freeland	41.2%	+143	+100	+110	-103	+110	+110	+105	70	1.63	36	1.80	73.8	1.72	37.6	1.88	9	1.4%	4	1.4%

		Actual		Expected		Meatballs
Team	Pitcher	Park	Opp	Proj Bases	Batters	Innings	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
COL	Kyle Freeland	TB		8.42	20.1	4.7	229	10.90	198	9.90	235.1	11.20	206.6	10.33	138	7.8%	124	7.2%
TOR	Kevin Gausman	TOR		8.28	22.3	5.4	272	8.77	167	8.35	313.4	10.11	200.2	10.01	195	6.8%	140	7.1%
CHC	Jameson Taillon	ARI		7.66	19.5	4.6	245	8.75	186	9.30	272.9	9.75	190.6	9.53	255	10.4%	181	10.3%
DET	Jack Flaherty	LAD		7.52	19.3	4.4	284	8.61	175	8.75	292.7	8.87	183.9	9.19	166	5.6%	110	6.1%
BOS	Tanner Houck	TEX		7.42	19.2	4.5	216	7.20	161	8.05	261.3	8.71	172.2	8.61	83	3.0%	47	2.7%
SEA	Luis Castillo	SEA		7.37	21.3	5.2	275	9.17	175	8.75	297.4	9.91	176.5	8.83	123	4.3%	78	4.2%
ARI	Merrill Kelly	ARI		7.34	20.1	4.7	118	9.08	164	8.20	131.1	10.09	191.9	9.59	61	5.4%	90	5.1%
PIT	Mitch Keller	MIA		6.85	20.6	5.0	311	10.03	206	10.30	328.7	10.60	187.0	9.35	97	3.4%	49	2.7%
BAL	Charlie Morton	TOR		6.57	19.2	4.4	264	8.80	188	9.40	275.7	9.19	177.7	8.89	108	3.9%	63	3.4%
TEX	Jack Leiter	TEX		6.25	16.9	3.9	56	9.33	61	8.71	60.4	10.06	60.4	8.63	24	5.2%	24	4.4%
HOU	Hunter Brown	HOU		6.19	21.3	5.2	227	7.32	134	6.70	238.5	7.69	141.3	7.07	81	2.8%	33	1.7%
NYM	Tylor Megill	HOU		6.14	19.0	4.5	105	7.00	136	6.80	116.3	7.75	147.2	7.36	45	3.4%	65	3.6%
ATL	Reynaldo Lopez	SD		5.99	16.8	4.0	164	6.56	137	6.85	212.9	8.52	163.6	8.18	94	4.5%	68	4.1%
TB	Ryan Pepiot	TB		5.95	19.2	4.8	173	6.65	139	6.95	192.2	7.39	142.2	7.11	99	4.6%	59	3.6%
LAD	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD		5.90	19.9	5.0	148	6.73	138	6.90	170.2	7.74	152.1	7.60	51	2.9%	44	2.7%
SD	Dylan Cease	SD		5.81	19.3	4.6	243	6.94	127	6.35	272.6	7.79	131.6	6.58	81	2.4%	44	2.4%
ATH	Jeffrey Springs	SEA		5.54	17.5	4.2	54	7.71	64	5.82	62.1	8.87	74.1	6.74	42	7.4%	52	6.1%
MIA	Connor Gillispie	MIA		5.29	15.6	3.6	0	.00	8	8.00	.0	.00	0.0	.00	0	0.0%	0	0.0%

		Actual				Meatballs
Team	Nickname	Park	Opp	Pitcher	Proj	< 5	5-6	7-8	9-10	> 10	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
BOS	Red Sox	TEX		Leiter	13.95	13%	31%	29%	15%	9%	2360	14.57	245	12.25	2378	14.68	265.1	13.25	989	4.1%	88	3.1%
CHC	Cubs	ARI		Kelly	13.85	13%	30%	31%	16%	8%	2140	13.21	271	13.55	2283	14.09	288.9	14.44	1154	4.8%	138	4.7%
PIT	Pirates	MIA		Gillispie	13.79	14%	30%	29%	16%	9%	2023	12.49	249	12.45	2214	13.67	283.2	14.16	1162	4.9%	148	5.2%
BAL	Orioles	TOR		Gausman	13.79	15%	30%	28%	17%	8%	2438	14.87	274	13.70	2577	15.71	284.6	14.23	1136	4.7%	113	3.7%
NYM	Mets	HOU		Brown	12.33	23%	33%	24%	13%	6%	2448	13.99	235	11.75	2614	14.94	279.4	13.97	1236	4.7%	88	3.0%
ATH	Athletics	SEA		Castillo	12.03	21%	36%	24%	12%	4%	2130	13.07	232	11.60	2273	13.95	245.4	12.27	1276	5.5%	152	5.4%
ATL	Braves	SD		Cease	11.95	23%	34%	26%	11%	4%	2296	14.00	320	16.00	2580	15.73	350.7	17.54	1276	5.3%	147	4.8%
COL	Rockies	TB		Pepiot	11.17	28%	34%	22%	10%	3%	2181	13.46	276	13.80	2254	13.91	277.1	13.86	1291	5.5%	133	4.8%
DET	Tigers	LAD		Yamamoto	10.53	33%	34%	20%	9%	2%	2155	12.75	231	11.55	2305	13.64	250.7	12.53	1180	4.8%	132	4.4%
TB	Rays	TB		Freeland	8.84	10%	29%	32%	18%	8%	1974	12.19	228	11.40	2147	13.26	260.0	13.00	994	4.1%	86	3.2%
ARI	Diamondbacks	ARI		Taillon	8.76	12%	30%	30%	18%	8%	2428	14.99	338	16.90	2487	15.36	344.4	17.22	1030	4.2%	148	4.6%
TEX	Rangers	TEX		Houck	8.63	12%	29%	31%	16%	10%	2078	12.83	266	13.30	2326	14.36	291.8	14.59	1300	5.6%	128	4.4%
SD	Padres	SD		Lopez	8.31	16%	34%	28%	14%	6%	2402	14.21	283	14.15	2633	15.58	309.8	15.49	1097	4.5%	117	4.3%
TOR	Blue Jays	TOR		Morton	8.26	16%	36%	29%	12%	4%	2101	12.97	235	11.75	2278	14.06	266.2	13.31	1173	5.0%	124	4.2%
LAD	Dodgers	LAD		Flaherty	7.98	13%	32%	30%	16%	8%	2668	14.82	262	13.10	2816	15.65	306.4	15.32	1233	4.5%	86	3.2%
MIA	Marlins	MIA		Keller	7.85	20%	38%	27%	10%	3%	2082	12.85	289	14.45	2202	13.60	275.8	13.79	927	4.1%	154	5.1%
HOU	Astros	HOU		Megill	7.41	22%	35%	26%	11%	3%	2325	14.18	263	13.15	2521	15.37	281.7	14.09	1106	4.9%	124	4.6%
SEA	Mariners	SEA		Springs	6.77	26%	36%	23%	9%	3%	1993	12.30	294	14.70	2228	13.76	304.5	15.23	1383	5.7%	160	5.2%

		Actual		Expected		Meatballs
Team	Nickname	Park	Opp	Proj Bases	Batters	Innings	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
PIT	Pirates	MIA		8.50	16.3	3.96	825	5.09	82	4.10	870	5.37	86.1	4.31	393	4.0%	67	5.3%
BOS	Red Sox	TEX		7.70	18.5	4.40	968	5.98	97	4.85	989	6.11	103.8	5.19	362	3.6%	38	3.2%
SD	Padres	SD		7.12	19.4	4.71	853	5.05	108	5.40	885	5.24	119.0	5.95	304	3.1%	41	3.6%
TEX	Rangers	TEX		6.86	22.3	5.44	894	5.52	116	5.80	967	5.97	130.9	6.55	524	4.9%	90	6.3%
ARI	Diamondbacks	ARI		6.55	19.2	4.61	995	6.14	148	7.40	1052	6.50	153.5	7.67	507	5.0%	63	4.8%
CHC	Cubs	ARI		6.51	18.3	4.24	785	4.85	120	6.00	892	5.51	142.2	7.11	431	4.6%	44	3.8%
LAD	Dodgers	LAD		6.29	16.8	4.29	998	5.54	131	6.55	1138	6.32	157.7	7.88	475	4.0%	57	3.5%
ATL	Braves	SD		6.14	20.3	4.80	734	4.48	88	4.40	804	4.91	94.4	4.72	447	5.1%	59	5.2%
NYM	Mets	HOU		6.14	18.4	4.38	833	4.76	119	5.95	872	4.99	132.9	6.65	346	3.3%	50	3.4%
TOR	Blue Jays	TOR		6.11	16.3	3.99	921	5.69	127	6.35	1006	6.21	131.6	6.58	402	4.3%	58	4.3%
TB	Rays	TB		5.85	18.0	4.55	884	5.46	99	4.95	992	6.13	101.9	5.10	430	4.3%	34	2.9%
SEA	Mariners	SEA		5.80	16.5	4.18	657	4.06	75	3.75	698	4.31	74.6	3.73	288	3.6%	40	3.8%
HOU	Astros	HOU		5.73	17.8	4.11	793	4.84	110	5.50	829	5.06	105.5	5.27	357	3.7%	38	3.7%
BAL	Orioles	TOR		5.51	18.9	4.52	802	4.89	116	5.80	846	5.16	101.4	5.07	375	4.0%	61	5.1%
COL	Rockies	TB		5.21	17.1	4.00	1039	6.41	134	6.70	1029	6.35	124.8	6.24	429	4.1%	45	3.2%
MIA	Marlins	MIA		5.02	24.8	5.72	919	5.67	111	5.55	983	6.07	138.2	6.91	406	3.7%	62	4.8%
ATH	Athletics	SEA		4.66	19.3	4.67	798	4.90	100	5.00	863	5.30	114.1	5.70	387	4.0%	47	3.6%
DET	Tigers	LAD		4.63	18.0	4.33	943	5.58	139	6.95	1066	6.31	159.4	7.97	544	4.7%	52	3.1%

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