Matchup Machine

Corey Seager

Worst 1% of matchups for Tanner Houck

Tanner Houck

Worst 33% of matchups for Corey Seager

Extreme advantage for Seager

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.9%	4.7%	14.1%	9.6%	16.5%
MLB (+/-)	+2.1	+0.4	+0.2	-0.1	-8.8
Seager	-0.4	-0.2	-1.5	+1.5	-2.6
Houck	+2.0	+0.4	+1.7	-1.0	-6.7

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.9%

4.7%

14.1%

9.6%

16.5%

MLB (+/-)

+2.1

+0.4

+0.2

-0.1

-8.8

Seager

-0.4

-0.2

-1.5

+1.5

-2.6

Houck

+2.0

+0.4

+1.7

-1.0

-6.7

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.07	0.00	0.04	0.02			.023

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Groundout		4%	2%	94%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2022-05-15	Flyout				99%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	59%	124	LHB vs RHP	51	53%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

59%

124

LHB vs RHP

53%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	59%	125	Fastball	29	51%
	40%	100	Breaking	71	38%
	21%	125	Offspeed	93	11%
			------------------
	59%	77	Slider	70	38%
⭐⭐	60%	125	Sinker	54	29%
	60%	84	Cutter	62	12%
	60%	125	Splitter	100	11%
⭐⭐	58%	113	Four-Seam FB	28	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

59%

125

Fastball

51%

40%

100

Breaking

38%

21%

125

Offspeed

11%

------------------

59%

Slider

38%

⭐⭐

60%

125

Sinker

29%

60%

Cutter

12%

60%

125

Splitter

100

11%

⭐⭐

58%

113

Four-Seam FB

10%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	82%	100	Bottom of zone	54	15%
⭐⭐	87%	118	Away / Arm Side	27	11%
⭐⭐	88%	122	Top of zone	41	8%
⭐	83%	116	In / Glove Side	61	7%
⭐⭐	93%	125	Middle	39	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

82%

100

Bottom of zone

15%

⭐⭐

87%

118

Away / Arm Side

11%

⭐⭐

88%

122

Top of zone

⭐

83%

116

In / Glove Side

⭐⭐

93%

125

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
47%	23	Below the zone	79	43%	⭐
33%	67	Away / Arm Side	28	31%
41%	57	In / Glove Side	92	23%
36%	43	Above the zone	8	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

47%

Below the zone

43%

⭐

33%

Away / Arm Side

31%

41%

In / Glove Side

23%

36%

Above the zone

14%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	55%	108	Batter Behind	51	29%
	60%	71	2 Strikes	56	28%
⭐⭐	65%	115	Batter Ahead	45	27%
⭐⭐	58%	107	First Pitch	41	27%
	67%	72	3 Balls	43	8%
	69%	73	Full Count	43	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

55%

108

Batter Behind

29%

60%

2 Strikes

28%

⭐⭐

65%

115

Batter Ahead

27%

⭐⭐

58%

107

First Pitch

27%

67%

3 Balls

69%

Full Count