Petco Park

March 27, 2025
Braves
@
Padres
1:00
59°
9 mph
2:00
59°
11 mph
3:00
59°
10 mph
Runs HR 2B/3B 1B BB K
-11%-10%-10%-6%+2%+3%
Home Runs
LF LF LC CF CF RC RF RF
Today0.950.980.930.870.880.630.680.84
Typical1.131.141.061.031.080.760.850.96
Doubles and Triples
LF LF LC CF CF RC RF RF
Today0.990.820.780.830.790.790.770.93
Typical0.990.750.790.840.850.850.830.99
Singles
LF LF LC CF CF RC RF RF
Today0.830.880.910.950.930.900.910.91
Typical0.920.910.980.990.980.950.960.93
Typical Conditions
For games played outdoors during the regular season
Wind Direction
0%0%0%2%0%18%55%25%
Wind Speed (mph)
0 - 3 4 - 7 8 - 12 13 - 20 21 +
1%31%64%3%0%
Temperature (°F)
< 50 51 - 60 61 - 70 71 - 80 81 - 90 > 90
0%2%34%51%12%0%
Humidity (%)
0 - 20 21 - 40 41 - 60 61 - 80 81 - 100
0%3%41%56%1%
Averages and Measurements
Rankings out of 30 active MLB parks (1=high, 30=low)
Value Rank
Runs-10 %30
Home Runs0 %16
Doubles & Triples-12 %29
Singles-6 %27
Strikeouts+3 %2
Walks+1 %4
Batter Contact+0.3 %14
Wind Speed9.0 mph13
Blowing Out-0.5 %30
Blowing In-2.8 %3
Wind Receptiveness+2.3 %15
Temperature73.0°16
Humidity61.0%12
Altitude13 ft28
Carry-0.7 %25
Variation4.6 %22
Stadium Overview
  After Petco Park opened in 2004, the front office was dissatisfied with the number of fly balls that were leaving the yard. But although the outfield was a bit larger than average, it wasn't exactly a pitcher's haven. Perhaps it was the low altitude, the dominant in-blowing wind from the northwest, or simply perception that contributed to the idea the stadium needed more home runs. Nevertheless, the right field fence was moved in by 11 feet in 2006, then again in 2013 along with the fence in left.

  As it stands today, Petco Park is still one of the most pitcher-friendly venues in MLB. Although the fence in center rivals nearbyDodger Stadium for its shallow distance, it doesn't play nearly as favorable for hitters. Ballpark Pal rates is 30th for runs, 27th for singles, and 29th for doubles and triples. Though it sets up fairly neutral for homers (16th).

  While appearing mostly symmetrical, Petco Park has a few subtleties that make its shape unique. First is how far the CF fence extends horizontally so that the gaps are a bit deeper than average. It also juts in a bit in left-center making that side slightly more appealing to hitters. Petco measures just 322 feet to the right field corner (14 feet shorter than left), but the wall is angled around the foul pole in a way that makes that sliver of field a good target for doubles.

  Although the direction is pretty consistent, wind at Petco isn't all that impactful. Wind speed ranks 25th in MLB and it hardly ever blows faster than 10 mph. Temperature is also consistently mild with more than 90% of games played in the 60s and 70s. Overall, Ballpark Pal ranks it 22nd in park variation, which is one of the lowest in MLB for fully outdoor stadiums.
Sim Accuracy
Simulated runs have been 2% lower than actual (-14 runs over 83 games)
Totals Difference % Dif Median Dif
Act Sim # % Away Home Med Abs
Runs720706-14-2%-7%3%0.743.06
Hits13651342-23-2%-6%2%-0.053.30
1B877893162%-5%9%0.602.30
2B/3B27127210%-5%6%0.241.17
HR217177-40-19%-10%-27%-0.040.97
BB5105857515%20%10%1.672.46
K13511342-9-1%-5%6%0.502.67
Sim is lower than actuals    Sim is higher than actuals
Date Away Away SP Home SP Runs Sim Dif Hits Sim Dif 1B Sim Dif 2B/3B Sim Dif HR Sim Dif BB Sim Dif Ks Sim Dif
9/22CHWBurkeDarvish47.983.981015.245.24410.026.0223.021.0242.21-1.7926.234.232316.48-6.52
9/21CHWFlexenPerez87.85-0.151515.250.2589.801.8043.37-0.6332.07-0.93116.45-4.551814.30-3.70
9/20CHWCrochetMusgrove47.343.341615.13-0.87109.87-0.1353.33-1.6711.940.9445.491.492318.07-4.93
9/18HOUValdezCease47.363.361114.913.9169.973.9712.791.7942.14-1.8625.883.881417.583.58
9/17HOUBrownKing68.152.151515.890.891010.540.5443.09-0.9112.261.2686.56-1.441916.46-2.54
9/16HOUArrighettiDarvish47.863.861915.36-3.641310.04-2.9643.04-0.9622.290.2946.172.171015.585.58
9/8SF BivensMusgrove137.78-5.221715.15-1.8599.710.7123.161.1662.28-3.7275.89-1.111817.51-0.49
9/5DETMizePerez79.382.381517.432.431011.371.3723.631.6332.43-0.5746.742.741114.873.87
9/4DETMonteroDarvish117.65-3.351715.24-1.761110.00-1.0033.130.1332.11-0.89155.84-9.161916.16-2.84
9/6SF BlackKing69.453.451516.741.741110.63-0.3713.312.3132.81-0.1927.405.402018.45-1.55
9/7SF WebbCease97.30-1.711914.83-4.17159.97-5.0323.061.0621.80-0.2066.420.421116.925.92
9/2DETHoltonMusgrove37.854.851415.471.47129.99-2.0123.141.1402.342.3425.603.601416.332.33
8/20MINOberPerez128.04-3.962315.98-7.021610.08-5.9243.63-0.3732.27-0.7315.684.681215.463.46
8/21MINWoods Rich.Waldron159.50-5.512516.86-8.141510.77-4.2373.20-3.8032.89-0.1157.152.152117.05-3.95
8/25NYMQuintanaPerez59.174.171416.462.46910.581.5813.472.4742.41-1.5967.951.951316.203.20
8/24NYMPetersonKing88.240.241115.304.3069.733.7323.341.3432.22-0.7867.601.601619.373.37
8/23NYMBlackburnMusgrove68.722.721815.75-2.25129.75-2.2543.34-0.6622.670.6726.804.802017.23-2.77
8/22NYMSeverinoCease118.83-2.172416.02-7.981910.12-8.8853.41-1.5902.492.4987.37-0.631818.280.28
8/19MINMatthewsKing88.070.07915.686.68610.094.0933.520.5202.082.08106.86-3.141218.996.99
8/14PITKellerPerez108.50-1.511816.60-1.401311.12-1.8923.451.4532.03-0.9756.751.751714.66-2.34
8/12PITWoodfordMusgrove39.566.561317.274.271011.471.4733.490.4902.312.3147.733.731015.845.84
8/4COLQuantrillWaldron129.07-2.941716.77-0.23711.384.3853.30-1.7052.09-2.91107.22-2.781615.78-0.22
7/14ATLSaleVasquez99.160.161717.650.651311.24-1.7613.842.8432.57-0.4355.950.951617.901.90
7/31LADKershawCease97.63-1.371514.61-0.39119.23-1.7833.350.3512.041.0466.880.881619.483.48
8/2COLGomberVasquez79.192.191317.834.83711.714.7133.970.9732.15-0.8576.16-0.841714.13-2.88
8/3COLGordonPerez59.394.391018.218.21612.406.4023.541.5422.270.2716.045.041614.18-1.83
7/30LADGlasnowWaldron117.75-3.251614.97-1.0399.710.7133.130.1342.13-1.87106.51-3.492416.65-7.35
7/12ATLSchwellenbachWaldron77.740.741415.761.76710.413.4143.33-0.6732.02-0.9825.753.75916.217.21
7/7ARINelsonCease108.69-1.311617.131.13811.743.7453.52-1.4831.87-1.1336.633.631314.911.91
7/13ATLLopezCease48.384.381816.39-1.611310.69-2.3143.51-0.4912.191.1936.213.211919.060.06
7/9SEAGilbertMazur117.94-3.071715.50-1.50710.183.1853.32-1.6851.99-3.0166.720.721816.46-1.54
7/10SEAMillerKing27.385.381014.674.67109.59-0.4202.962.9602.122.1276.38-0.621719.102.10
7/6ARIPfaadtWaldron127.95-4.052315.83-7.171510.77-4.2373.34-3.6611.720.7266.760.762413.70-10.30
6/23MILMyersKing87.75-0.252215.70-6.301610.73-5.2763.19-2.8101.781.7816.815.811616.340.34
6/24WASCorbinWaldron137.67-5.331915.59-3.411110.57-0.4373.30-3.7011.720.7266.460.461713.78-3.22
7/5ARICecconiVasquez179.54-7.462618.22-7.781412.48-1.5263.53-2.4762.21-3.7956.671.671112.221.22
6/25WASGoreMazur168.72-7.291816.79-1.211111.590.5943.34-0.6631.87-1.1467.591.59515.0410.04
6/26WASHerzCease137.76-5.241415.851.85910.591.5933.310.3121.95-0.0586.05-1.951518.933.93
6/20MILWilsonMazur139.38-3.621917.16-1.841111.790.7933.450.4551.92-3.08138.24-4.761812.94-5.06
6/22MILRodriguezVasquez108.63-1.372017.45-2.551612.04-3.9603.483.4841.93-2.0766.030.031113.672.67
6/21MILReaCease147.99-6.012615.76-10.242010.48-9.5243.17-0.8422.110.1186.13-1.871715.55-1.45
6/11ATHSearsVasquez78.271.271915.95-3.051310.54-2.4733.230.2332.19-0.8196.44-2.561115.804.80
6/12ATHHarrisKing98.31-0.691616.410.411110.82-0.1813.612.6141.98-2.0366.280.282816.64-11.36
6/7ARIPfaadtKing127.69-4.312216.06-5.941410.91-3.0933.340.3451.81-3.1975.80-1.201814.78-3.22
6/9ARIMcGoughMazur128.93-3.072216.33-5.671811.41-6.5913.052.0531.88-1.1388.720.721213.641.64
6/6ARICecconiVasquez78.161.161916.26-2.741011.131.1363.14-2.8632.00-1.0196.36-2.641013.773.77
6/10ATHEstesCease67.531.531814.73-3.27119.39-1.6143.22-0.7832.12-0.88106.05-3.962217.01-4.99
6/8ARINelsonWaldron147.99-6.011916.09-2.911011.101.1063.24-2.7731.76-1.24106.36-3.641113.562.56
5/25NYYStromanCease58.293.291315.372.37910.131.1323.141.1422.100.1057.642.642015.56-4.44
5/28MIALuzardoWaldron48.144.141516.071.071210.85-1.1523.001.0012.231.2326.174.171715.92-1.09
5/26NYYSchmidtMusgrove79.472.471717.960.961212.410.4143.39-0.6112.161.1687.39-0.621916.42-2.58
5/29MIAGarrettDarvish107.72-2.282415.97-8.031910.96-8.0433.140.1421.86-0.1445.501.50815.117.11
5/24NYYRodonDarvish88.010.011315.792.79710.823.8223.081.0841.89-2.1156.961.961315.772.77
5/27MIARogersKing38.725.721217.205.20611.965.9643.28-0.7221.96-0.0466.650.651515.530.53
5/15COLGomberKing89.471.471617.651.651212.050.0523.181.1822.410.4166.660.661814.81-3.19
5/14COLQuantrillCease97.69-1.312114.94-6.061810.02-7.9812.851.8522.070.0756.211.211915.17-3.83
5/12LADBuehlerDarvish410.176.171318.315.31812.324.3223.631.6332.36-0.6457.802.801414.630.63
5/13COLHudsonVasquez99.720.721318.085.08812.914.9123.051.0532.12-0.88127.44-4.561012.592.59
5/10LADGlasnowKing28.326.32715.948.94410.936.9322.820.8212.201.2076.99-0.012416.58-7.42
5/11LADPaxtonWaldron58.923.921115.874.87710.783.7822.920.9222.170.1788.120.121613.11-2.89
5/1CINAshcraftMusgrove88.940.941216.394.39811.373.3722.770.7722.260.2668.192.191816.80-1.20
4/26PHINolaMusgrove128.83-3.172016.39-3.611011.471.4742.72-1.2862.20-3.8057.902.901916.53-2.47
4/27PHISuarezCease67.821.821114.973.9789.871.8713.012.0122.100.1037.144.142119.07-1.93
4/30CINMartinezDarvish108.80-1.201816.01-1.991211.06-0.9442.96-1.0422.00-0.0138.555.551516.301.30
4/29CINLodoloWaldron78.381.381215.303.30510.475.4752.81-2.1922.020.0238.615.612018.17-1.84
4/28PHIWalkerKing149.22-4.782116.09-4.911010.920.9262.95-3.0552.21-2.7979.102.101416.462.46
4/10CHCHendricksCease129.01-2.991516.201.20910.651.6533.660.6631.89-1.1188.670.671616.620.62
4/19TORRodriguezWaldron68.102.101615.00-1.00910.311.3152.79-2.2121.90-0.1038.515.512315.96-7.04
4/20TORBerriosVasquez78.911.911716.72-0.281011.751.7563.13-2.8711.840.8458.443.441215.613.61
4/8CHCAssadDarvish178.54-8.461615.95-0.05811.203.2053.09-1.9131.66-1.34138.69-4.321915.91-3.09
4/9CHCBrownMusgrove69.333.331316.663.66811.113.1123.881.8831.66-1.3469.243.242216.64-5.37
4/21TORBassittMusgrove99.600.601217.475.47811.983.9813.242.2432.25-0.75118.21-2.791015.345.34
3/29SF HarrisonMusgrove118.45-2.552215.47-6.54139.94-3.0743.28-0.7252.25-2.7557.722.721218.536.53
3/30SF HicksCease158.69-6.311615.54-0.46910.131.1333.310.3142.10-1.9099.110.112019.51-0.49
4/1STLGibsonWaldron88.900.901915.96-3.041210.43-1.5733.450.4542.08-1.9268.562.561815.30-2.70
3/31SF JefferiesKing179.73-7.272116.69-4.311110.96-0.0473.05-3.9632.68-0.32138.63-4.371619.203.20
4/2STLMikolasDarvish78.571.571516.681.68910.521.5254.25-0.7511.910.9166.730.731414.390.39
4/3STLThompsonMusgrove510.115.111317.674.67910.941.9434.381.3812.361.36148.09-5.912117.37-3.63
3/28SF WebbDarvish109.22-0.781817.59-0.421411.60-2.4033.760.7612.221.2256.861.861717.290.29
10/9LADBrasierCease88.120.121914.90-4.10139.57-3.4333.080.0832.26-0.7467.531.531815.61-2.39
10/8LADBuehlerKing118.92-2.081315.602.6099.860.8613.272.2732.47-0.5338.215.211315.452.45
10/1ATLSmith-ShawverKing48.534.531215.893.89910.501.5013.122.1222.280.2827.475.472018.04-1.96
10/2ATLFriedMusgrove97.75-1.251615.04-0.9699.680.6843.04-0.9632.32-0.6835.992.991417.323.32
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