Nationals Park

March 27, 2025
Phillies
@
Nationals
4:00
55°
11 mph
5:00
55°
11 mph
6:00
55°
9 mph
Runs HR 2B/3B 1B BB K
-9%-25%+8%0%-3%-2%
Home Runs
LF LF LC CF CF RC RF RF
Today0.630.640.860.850.830.720.550.52
Typical1.041.061.171.371.321.060.870.76
Doubles and Triples
LF LF LC CF CF RC RF RF
Today1.030.971.051.151.251.111.281.04
Typical1.010.951.061.091.211.181.261.04
Singles
LF LF LC CF CF RC RF RF
Today0.961.000.951.011.031.031.011.00
Typical1.001.031.011.021.051.051.051.03
Typical Conditions
For games played outdoors during the regular season
Wind Direction
10%13%18%17%6%7%16%13%
Wind Speed (mph)
0 - 3 4 - 7 8 - 12 13 - 20 21 +
14%62%21%3%0%
Temperature (°F)
< 50 51 - 60 61 - 70 71 - 80 81 - 90 > 90
3%10%18%27%35%6%
Humidity (%)
0 - 20 21 - 40 41 - 60 61 - 80 81 - 100
0%12%43%32%13%
Averages and Measurements
Rankings out of 30 active MLB parks (1=high, 30=low)
Value Rank
Runs+3 %8
Home Runs+1 %15
Doubles & Triples+1 %13
Singles+3 %8
Strikeouts0 %13
Walks-1 %23
Batter Contact+0.5 %11
Wind Speed6.0 mph28
Blowing Out+1.2 %10
Blowing In-1.1 %19
Wind Receptiveness+2.3 %14
Temperature75.0°10
Humidity60.0%15
Altitude25 ft25
Carry-0.3 %16
Variation9 %4
Stadium Overview
  After more than three decades, baseball returned to Washington D.C. in 2005. The former Montreal Expos made their D.C. debut at RFK Stadium, the same venue occupied by the Senators from 1962-71. Opening in 2008, the brand new Nationals Park gave a subtle nod to nearby RFK as the outfield wall's 5 'corners' perfectly match the on-field measurements of its predecessor at those points.

  At a glance, the park's shape resembles Progressive Field and Oriole Park. Nat Park plays further than average down the lines and the fence extends vertically from each foul pole before making a notably left-to-right path through the outfield. The wall is taller than average at all points and measures 16 feet high across most of right field. Undoubtedly, the best spot to hit a home run at Nationals Park is left-center where the fence is shallower than the MLB average and not as tall as it is in right.

  Although the venue is generally neutral (leaning in favor of hitters), external factors at Nationals Park can provide some day-to-day variability (4th in park variation). The wind doesn't blow all that hard in D.C. but the stadium is the 14th most receptive to wind, which tends to blow from all directions. Surprisingly, Nationals Park ranks 5th in average temperature (77 degrees) and nearly half of games are played in temps 80 and above.
Sim Accuracy
Simulated runs have been 2% higher than actual (13 runs over 81 games)
Totals Difference % Dif Median Dif
Act Sim # % Away Home Med Abs
Runs697710132%1%3%0.302.79
Hits13611394332%1%4%0.083.23
1B935925-10-1%-3%1%-0.422.95
2B/3B2672962911%4%20%0.521.39
HR159173149%19%-1%0.210.95
BB519540214%7%1%1.282.18
K12541291373%-2%8%1.502.90
Sim is lower than actuals    Sim is higher than actuals
Date Away Away SP Home SP Runs Sim Dif Hits Sim Dif 1B Sim Dif 2B/3B Sim Dif HR Sim Dif BB Sim Dif Ks Sim Dif
9/25KC LorenzenHerz39.496.49917.228.22811.023.0213.792.7902.412.4187.65-0.351315.492.49
9/26KC WachaCorbin109.94-0.061519.094.091312.28-0.7204.234.2322.580.5855.670.671015.735.73
9/27PHISuarezWilliams109.54-0.472018.55-1.461612.58-3.4323.471.4722.500.5075.71-1.291215.313.31
9/29PHINolaIrvin99.030.032018.19-1.811711.85-5.1623.981.9812.371.3765.39-0.612015.99-4.02
9/28PHIWheelerGore99.030.031417.053.05910.451.4523.841.8432.76-0.2466.040.042616.61-9.39
9/13MIACabreraHerz57.612.611215.653.651010.350.3503.523.5221.79-0.2136.413.411517.852.85
9/15MIAOllerGore79.162.161417.533.531011.611.6113.762.7632.16-0.8467.311.311315.902.90
9/24KC RagansParker18.667.661317.134.131211.62-0.3813.362.3602.152.1576.36-0.642115.99-5.01
9/14MIABellozoCorbin58.963.961417.973.97811.793.7934.101.1032.08-0.9226.014.012013.79-6.22
9/11ATLFriedIrvin69.173.171917.93-1.071311.58-1.4254.06-0.9512.291.2926.244.241815.69-2.32
9/12MIAMcCaughanParker98.84-0.161417.383.381011.531.5343.87-0.1401.981.9846.822.821316.753.75
9/1CHCWicksParker158.96-6.042317.33-5.671811.03-6.9753.73-1.2702.562.5666.170.171315.792.79
9/10ATLLopezGore129.27-2.731817.54-0.46811.233.2363.90-2.1042.41-1.60106.76-3.241716.67-0.33
8/31CHCAssadHerz89.331.331716.77-0.231410.44-3.5623.691.6912.641.6477.500.501616.830.83
8/28NYYRodonGore79.692.691717.380.381411.10-2.9013.602.6022.680.6877.520.521917.30-1.70
8/30CHCImanagaIrvin139.29-3.711717.990.991011.301.3054.29-0.7122.400.4075.82-1.182516.00-9.00
8/27NYYColeCorbin69.953.951518.573.57912.183.1843.76-0.2422.630.6346.812.811616.980.98
8/21COLGordonParker79.282.281818.410.411212.450.4553.95-1.0512.011.0136.403.40916.847.84
8/26NYYCortes Jr.Parker79.472.471718.321.32912.233.2333.510.5152.58-2.4266.300.301215.963.96
8/20COLGomberHerz47.713.711516.441.441110.79-0.2233.790.7911.870.8765.46-0.541617.591.59
8/22COLQuantrillCorbin1110.67-0.331720.193.191113.572.5734.571.5732.05-0.9587.01-0.992016.56-3.44
8/11LAAKochanowiczGore109.08-0.921817.54-0.461312.10-0.9043.59-0.4111.850.85187.87-10.13716.219.21
8/6SF BirdsongGore169.13-6.872416.46-7.541110.68-0.3283.52-4.4852.26-2.7598.74-0.261817.78-0.22
8/9LAASorianoParker510.485.481719.052.051612.54-3.4604.034.0312.481.4837.624.621714.12-2.88
8/8SF HarrisonHerz148.65-5.352017.24-2.761511.21-3.7943.69-0.3112.331.33105.76-4.242117.85-3.15
8/10LAACanningCorbin89.211.212018.07-1.941411.91-2.0943.89-0.1122.260.2656.641.64715.888.88
8/5SF WebbCorbin58.913.911517.702.70911.982.9843.51-0.4922.210.2156.441.442116.12-4.88
8/7SF SnellIrvin118.22-2.781816.11-1.901110.11-0.8933.930.9342.07-1.9366.760.761418.954.95
8/3MILCivaleHerz108.47-1.531716.58-0.431210.66-1.3433.560.5622.360.3636.113.111316.413.41
7/24SD WaldronParker158.34-6.662616.92-9.081811.52-6.4853.20-1.8032.20-0.8065.99-0.011313.230.23
8/2MILMontasIrvin118.16-2.842116.23-4.781510.61-4.3943.61-0.3922.010.0186.43-1.571614.05-1.95
8/4MILMyersParker78.901.901617.291.291111.170.1733.730.7322.390.3956.281.281015.325.32
7/25SD CeaseCorbin39.476.47618.8012.80412.318.3124.182.1802.302.3065.84-0.161616.570.57
7/23SD VasquezHerz49.295.291419.005.00813.015.0143.79-0.2122.200.2035.662.661014.024.02
7/19CINMontasCorbin139.67-3.331417.993.99911.362.3634.321.3222.310.3187.18-0.822115.65-5.35
7/20CINLodoloGore98.82-0.181617.521.521111.830.8333.510.5122.190.1996.42-2.581617.501.50
7/21CINAbbottIrvin68.042.041416.552.55811.043.0433.620.6231.89-1.1146.032.031214.952.95
7/7STLGibsonHerz117.86-3.142416.96-7.041811.48-6.5253.88-1.1211.600.6075.96-1.042017.29-2.71
7/8STLMikolasParker67.981.981916.90-2.101511.41-3.5923.481.4822.010.0125.103.101312.86-0.14
7/4NYMQuintanaIrvin18.657.65616.5610.56510.635.6303.623.6212.321.3256.961.961317.194.19
7/6STLLynnGore208.97-11.032617.72-8.281711.80-5.2063.91-2.0932.01-0.99146.77-7.231415.911.91
7/5STLGrayCorbin138.48-4.522817.17-10.832011.29-8.7163.85-2.1522.030.0386.15-1.851216.324.32
7/3NYMScottParker128.27-3.731416.722.72511.356.3543.25-0.7552.12-2.8946.302.301215.383.38
7/2NYMManaeaHerz88.370.371717.080.081011.151.1554.02-0.9821.91-0.0946.062.062115.43-5.57
6/16MIALuzardoParker48.974.971718.341.341112.651.6543.60-0.4022.090.0935.392.391112.321.32
7/1NYMPetersonGore168.09-7.912317.29-5.711411.99-2.0173.83-3.1821.47-0.5376.49-0.511915.76-3.24
6/20ARINelsonGore78.851.851718.191.191212.360.3623.981.9831.84-1.1626.124.121615.30-0.70
6/19ARIPfaadtCorbin48.614.611017.687.68811.573.5714.343.3411.770.7776.10-0.901214.462.46
6/18ARICecconiIrvin58.563.561816.64-1.371410.93-3.0733.560.5612.141.1456.751.751214.562.56
6/6ATLLopezParker79.452.451317.944.94711.584.5823.621.6242.74-1.2626.254.251216.294.29
6/7ATLSaleIrvin37.434.431116.325.32511.096.0963.22-2.7802.012.0144.710.711916.31-2.69
6/15MIARogersHerz49.095.091318.465.46712.875.8743.84-0.1621.75-0.2526.524.522014.60-5.40
6/14MIAAndersonGore99.570.572018.92-1.081613.04-2.9633.770.7712.111.1156.501.501515.930.93
6/8ATLMortonGore109.77-0.231918.26-0.741111.580.5864.17-1.8322.520.5246.922.922117.05-3.96
6/9ATLWaldrepHerz138.49-4.511517.122.121211.62-0.3813.402.4022.110.11136.23-6.771515.200.20
6/4NYMPetersonHerz99.300.301917.86-1.141412.26-1.7433.360.3622.230.2387.27-0.731115.964.96
5/25SEAGilbertWilliams38.245.241116.535.53810.872.8723.631.6312.031.0316.385.381816.70-1.30
6/5NYMSeverinoCorbin109.48-0.531818.050.051211.64-0.3633.910.9132.50-0.5046.432.431013.373.37
5/24SEAKirbyGore77.680.681315.782.78910.281.2803.503.5042.00-2.0026.324.321519.654.65
6/3NYMMegillGore158.38-6.632416.74-7.262011.04-8.9623.601.6022.100.10126.38-5.621217.595.59
5/26SEAWooCorbin149.17-4.831817.26-0.741211.15-0.8523.931.9342.19-1.8157.162.161215.553.55
5/22MINWoods Rich.Irvin58.763.761417.243.24911.372.3723.571.5732.30-0.7036.343.341516.601.60
5/20MINLopezParker157.22-7.782215.66-6.351510.56-4.4443.18-0.8231.91-1.0945.411.411617.411.41
5/8BALBradishParker126.95-5.051915.47-3.531111.060.0642.71-1.3041.71-2.30115.54-5.462217.08-4.92
5/7BALBurnesWilliams38.625.62917.348.34711.764.7623.271.2702.312.3165.83-0.172014.71-5.29
5/21MINRyanCorbin108.71-1.291317.664.66611.615.6133.750.7542.29-1.7195.37-3.631416.172.17
5/5TORManoahGore198.46-10.542116.45-4.551211.23-0.7853.15-1.8542.07-1.93137.34-5.661414.540.54
5/4TORGausmanIrvin98.14-0.861516.571.571311.86-1.1412.971.9711.750.7597.14-1.862214.57-7.43
4/23LADPaxtonCorbin59.944.941617.851.851211.94-0.0633.460.4612.451.45148.44-5.56912.863.86
4/24LADKnackIrvin138.49-4.512315.81-7.191310.47-2.5383.28-4.7222.070.0778.081.081315.532.53
4/20HOUBlancoWilliams88.080.081815.37-2.641510.41-4.5923.281.2811.680.6878.761.761614.93-1.07
4/21HOUBrownParker68.212.211516.461.461411.63-2.3703.453.4511.380.3858.003.001813.85-4.15
4/25LADYamamotoGore37.484.481615.06-0.941110.05-0.9543.50-0.5011.510.5148.074.072018.36-1.64
5/3TORKikuchiCorbin129.18-2.821917.59-1.411012.132.1383.17-4.8312.291.2987.10-0.901313.820.82
4/3PITKellerWilliams89.821.821417.503.50611.775.7763.45-2.5522.280.2869.043.042117.76-3.25
4/4PITPerezGray118.52-2.481915.12-3.881410.37-3.6332.79-0.2121.96-0.04129.86-2.141717.350.35
4/7PHISanchezGore56.861.861314.691.691110.14-0.8613.152.1511.410.4177.060.061317.414.41
4/19HOUVerlanderGore88.920.922116.62-4.381510.41-4.5953.80-1.2112.421.4237.204.201314.821.82
4/6PHISuarezIrvin77.600.601314.641.64910.011.0123.131.1321.50-0.5078.991.991416.972.97
4/5PHINolaCorbin47.243.241115.024.0279.952.9543.40-0.6001.681.68146.66-7.341616.480.48
4/1PITGonzalesGore129.59-2.412317.80-5.211611.67-4.3363.94-2.0612.191.19127.70-4.301716.35-0.65
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Oakland Coliseum - Oakland Athletics
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PNC Park - Pittsburgh Pirates
Progressive Field - Cleveland Indians
Rogers Centre - Toronto Blue Jays
Target Field - Minnesota Twins
T-Mobile Park - Seattle Mariners
Tropicana Field - Tampa Bay Rays
Truist Park - Atlanta Braves
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