Matchup Machine

Jung Hoo Lee

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matchup for Aaron Nola

319th out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Jung Hoo Lee

346th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Hoo Lee
2

Model Prediction

Jung Hoo Lee has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.3% lower than Hoo Lee's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%23.9%2.7%5.9%15.4%5.4%18.3%
Hoo Lee-2.3+0.2+0.8+1.4-2.0-2.5+4.2
Nola-0.1+1.6-0.3-0.4+2.2-1.7-12.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jung Hoo Lee hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Hoo Lee does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jung Hoo Lee hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.0% of Jung Hoo Lee's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.8% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 22%         Strikeout -14.8% +6.3% 6%         Walk -0.9% -2.8% 52%         In Play +15.7% -3.5% 39%         On Base +7.5% -4.8% 31%         Hit +8.4% -2.0% 14%         Single +4.3% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.7% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

History

Jung Hoo Lee has 3 plate appearances against Aaron Nola in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.070.000.010.060.022
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Strikeout
2024-05-03Flyout99%
2024-05-03Pop Out5%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.