Matchup Machine

      Masataka Yoshida

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      matchup for Joe Ryan

      388th out of 436 (Worst 11%)

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      Joe Ryan

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      matchup for M. Yoshida

      535th out of 567 (Worst 6%)

      Leans in favor of Ryan
      1

      Model Prediction

      Masataka Yoshida has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 5.0% lower than Yoshida's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Ryan.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Masataka Yoshida is better vs right-handed pitching. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Yoshida has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Masataka Yoshida has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      56%
         Slider (R)
      19%
         Splitter (R)
      16%

      Contact and Outcomes

      7.9% of Masataka Yoshida's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.3% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.3% +4.7% 5%         Walk -1.9% -3.3% 34%         In Play +13.2% -1.4% 39%         On Base +4.4% -8.0% 31%         Hit +6.3% -4.7% 14%         Single +3.1% -2.9% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% -2.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.9%

      History

      Masataka Yoshida has 4 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual440000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.410.160.060.190.102
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-06-22Groundout8%92%
      2023-06-22Flyout16%5%79%
      2023-06-22Flyout99%
      2023-06-22Groundout11%89%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.