Matchup Machine

Masataka Yoshida

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

278th out of 436 (Worst 36%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for M. Yoshida

247th out of 567 (Best 44%)

Strong advantage for Yoshida
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Model Prediction

Masataka Yoshida has a 33.9% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 0.2% higher than Yoshida's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.9%25.6%3.1%4.8%17.7%8.3%15.6%
Yoshida+0.2-0.2+0.7-0.2-0.7+0.4+1.1
Flaherty-0.3+2.3-0.5-0.4+3.2-2.7-7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Masataka Yoshida is better vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Yoshida has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Masataka Yoshida has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

7.9% of Masataka Yoshida's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.3% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.3% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.9% -1.5% 34%         In Play +13.2% -4.3% 39%         On Base +4.4% -2.0% 31%         Hit +6.3% -0.5% 14%         Single +3.1% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.2%

History

Masataka Yoshida has 3 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332002100.667
Expected From Contact →0.830.000.000.830.277
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-30Strikeout
2023-09-09Single15%85%
2023-09-09Single68%32%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.