Matchup Machine

Masataka Yoshida

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

292nd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for M. Yoshida

40th out of 567 (Best 8%)

Extreme advantage for Yoshida
10

Model Prediction

Masataka Yoshida has a 38.2% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 4.5% higher than Yoshida's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.2%31.4%1.9%5.8%23.8%6.7%10.8%
Yoshida+4.5+5.7-0.5+0.8+5.4-1.2-3.7
Stroman+0.5+2.6-0.8-0.1+3.5-2.0-7.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Masataka Yoshida is better vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yoshida has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Masataka Yoshida has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

7.9% of Masataka Yoshida's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.3% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.3% -3.1% 5%         Walk -1.9% -0.8% 34%         In Play +13.2% +3.9% 39%         On Base +4.4% +3.0% 31%         Hit +6.3% +3.8% 14%         Single +3.1% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.5% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -1.1%

History

Masataka Yoshida has 8 plate appearances against Marcus Stroman in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual882002200.250
Expected From Contact →1.910.000.131.780.238
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-27Single11%70%20%
2024-07-27Single2%79%19%
2024-06-16Pop Out99%
2024-06-16Strikeout
2024-06-16Groundout7%93%
2023-07-15Strikeout
2023-07-15Flyout100%
2023-07-15GIDP21%79%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.