Matchup Machine

Matt Shaw

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matchup for Jared Jones

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Matt Shaw

428th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Extreme advantage for Jones
9

Model Prediction

Matt Shaw has a 23.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.9% lower than Shaw's typical expectations, and 7.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.4%15.9%1.8%3.7%10.5%7.5%38.3%
Shaw-0.9-2.2-0.2-0.2-1.8+1.2+5.6
Jones-7.6-4.9-1.2-1.4-2.4-2.7+9.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Shaw hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Shaw doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Matt Shaw hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

29.3% of Matt Shaw's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout +5.7% +0.4% 7%         Walk -3.8% +0.6% 65%         In Play -1.9% -1.1% 39%         On Base -12.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -8.5% -0.8% 14%         Single -2.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -0.1% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years