Matchup Machine

Matt Shaw

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matchup for Kevin Gausman

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Kevin Gausman

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matchup for Matt Shaw

347th out of 564 (Worst 39%)

Extreme advantage for Gausman
9

Model Prediction

Matt Shaw has a 22.7% chance of reaching base vs Kevin Gausman, which is 1.7% lower than Shaw's typical expectations, and 8.8% lower than batters facing Gausman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.7%17.7%2.0%3.9%11.8%5.0%30.4%
Shaw-1.7-0.40.0+0.0-0.4-1.3-2.3
Gausman-8.8-5.5-0.7-2.2-2.6-3.3+9.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Shaw hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Kevin Gausman is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Shaw doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Kevin Gausman throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Matt Shaw hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Splitter (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

29.3% of Matt Shaw's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Kevin Gausman strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout +5.7% +3.1% 7%         Walk -3.8% -1.5% 65%         In Play -1.9% -1.6% 39%         On Base -12.2% -1.9% 31%         Hit -8.5% -0.4% 14%         Single -2.2% -0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% +0.1% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -0.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years