Matchup Machine

Matt Shaw

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matchup for Sonny Gray

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Sonny Gray

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matchup for Matt Shaw

468th out of 564 (Worst 17%)

Extreme advantage for Gray
9

Model Prediction

Matt Shaw has a 23.9% chance of reaching base vs Sonny Gray, which is 2.8% lower than Shaw's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Gray.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.9%18.4%2.1%4.2%12.1%5.5%37.5%
Shaw-2.8-0.2-0.1+0.1-0.3-2.5+7.5
Gray-4.0-2.3-0.5-0.8-1.0-1.7+6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Shaw hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Sonny Gray is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Shaw doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Sonny Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 26% of the time. Matt Shaw hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
26%
   Sinker (R)
22%
   Curve (R)
19%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

29.3% of Matt Shaw's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Sonny Gray strikes out 20.1% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout +5.7% +7.2% 7%         Walk -3.8% -1.2% 65%         In Play -1.9% -6.0% 39%         On Base -12.2% -3.5% 31%         Hit -8.5% -2.3% 14%         Single -2.2% -0.7% 13%         2B / 3B -6.1% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.1% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years