Matchup Machine

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

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matchup for Bryce Miller

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for N. Alvarez Jr.

491st out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Extreme advantage for Miller
10

Model Prediction

Nacho Alvarez Jr. has a 22.1% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.4% lower than Alvarez Jr.'s typical expectations, and 7.1% lower than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.1%15.8%1.5%3.3%11.0%6.4%38.7%
Alvarez Jr.-2.4-2.5-0.3-0.6-1.6+0.1+6.8
Miller-7.1-4.7-0.8-1.1-2.8-2.4+8.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez Jr. doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

31.7% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout +8.6% +0.2% 8%         Walk -8.0% -2.5% 64%         In Play -0.6% +2.3% 39%         On Base -17.0% -3.2% 31%         Hit -9.0% -0.7% 14%         Single -3.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -3.0% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years