Matchup Machine

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for N. Alvarez Jr.

367th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Extreme advantage for Weathers
9

Model Prediction

Nacho Alvarez Jr. has a 22.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.7% lower than Alvarez Jr.'s typical expectations, and 7.0% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.9%17.7%1.6%4.4%11.7%5.1%31.8%
Alvarez Jr.-1.7-0.6-0.1+0.5-0.9-1.1-0.1
Weathers-7.0-3.8-0.4-1.2-2.2-3.2+7.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Alvarez Jr. doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

31.7% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout +8.6% -2.1% 8%         Walk -8.0% -0.6% 64%         In Play -0.6% +2.7% 39%         On Base -17.0% +0.9% 31%         Hit -9.0% +1.5% 14%         Single -3.2% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -3.0% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years