Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

matchup for Seth Lugo

out of 436 (Worst %)

Seth Lugo

matchup for N. Alvarez Jr.

420th out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Extreme advantage for Lugo

Nacho Alvarez Jr. has a 22.9% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 1.6% lower than Alvarez Jr.'s typical expectations, and 9.5% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.9%	17.9%	1.6%	3.9%	12.4%	5.0%	35.0%
Alvarez Jr.	-1.6	-0.4	-0.2	0.0	-0.2	-1.2	+3.2
Lugo	-9.5	-6.0	-1.5	-1.0	-3.5	-3.5	+10.2

Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez Jr. doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Curve (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

Changeup (R)

10% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

18% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 18%

+13%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

31.7% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

23%

Strikeout +8.6% +0.8% 8%

Walk -8.0% -2.3% 64%

In Play -0.6% +1.4% 39%

On Base -17.0% -0.4% 31%

Hit -9.0% +1.9% 14%

Single -3.2% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -2.8% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -3.0% +0.1%

0.0% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 34.4% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -34.4% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer +36.3% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +39.2% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -20.1% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -2.2%

48.7% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 24.4% higher than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -16.2% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +30.1% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -18.9% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -19.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +24.4% -1.6%

0.0% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 11.4% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%