Matchup Machine

Nacho Alvarez Jr.

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for N. Alvarez Jr.

106th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Stroman
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Model Prediction

Nacho Alvarez Jr. has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 3.1% higher than Alvarez Jr.'s typical expectations, and 10.0% lower than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.6%22.5%1.6%3.9%17.1%5.1%26.2%
Alvarez Jr.+3.1+4.2-0.20.0+4.4-1.2-5.7
Stroman-10.0-6.3-1.1-2.0-3.3-3.7+8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Alvarez Jr. doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Nacho Alvarez Jr. hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

31.7% of Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.6% higher than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 23%         Strikeout +8.6% -3.1% 8%         Walk -8.0% -0.8% 64%         In Play -0.6% +3.9% 39%         On Base -17.0% +3.0% 31%         Hit -9.0% +3.8% 14%         Single -3.2% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B -2.8% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -3.0% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years