Matchup Machine

Jackson Holliday

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

42nd out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for J. Holliday

546th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Extreme advantage for Skubal
10

Model Prediction

Jackson Holliday has a 22.2% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 6.2% lower than Holliday's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.2%16.7%2.0%3.4%11.2%5.6%37.8%
Holliday-6.2-2.1-0.2-1.2-0.7-4.2+6.2
Skubal-3.0-3.4-0.2-0.6-2.6+0.3+8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Holliday is worse vs left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Holliday doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jackson Holliday hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

26.3% of Jackson Holliday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +9.6% +6.3% 6%         Walk -0.4% -3.3% 54%         In Play -9.2% -3.0% 39%         On Base -6.1% -5.6% 31%         Hit -5.7% -2.3% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +0.5% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years