Matchup Machine

Jackson Holliday

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matchup for Logan Webb

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for J. Holliday

221st out of 567 (Best 40%)

Moderate advantage for Webb
3

Model Prediction

Jackson Holliday has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.8% higher than Holliday's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%21.8%1.7%5.8%14.3%7.5%27.4%
Holliday+0.8+3.1-0.6+1.2+2.5-2.3-4.3
Webb-2.9-2.9-0.8+0.7-2.8+0.0+5.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Holliday is better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Holliday doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jackson Holliday hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

26.3% of Jackson Holliday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +9.6% -0.8% 6%         Walk -0.4% -2.4% 54%         In Play -9.2% +3.2% 39%         On Base -6.1% +1.6% 31%         Hit -5.7% +4.0% 14%         Single -3.3% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -1.3%

History

Jackson Holliday has 2 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual211001011.000
Expected From Contact →0.810.000.010.810.813
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-19Single81%19%
2024-09-19Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.