Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Holliday

matchup for Aaron Nola

30th out of 436 (Best 8%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for J. Holliday

448th out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Strong advantage for Nola

Jackson Holliday has a 25.4% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 3.1% lower than Holliday's typical expectations, and 4.1% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.4%	18.6%	2.6%	5.8%	10.2%	6.8%	41.2%
Holliday	-3.1	-0.1	+0.3	+1.2	-1.6	-3.0	+9.6
Nola	-4.1	-3.8	-0.4	-0.5	-2.9	-0.3	+10.3

Jackson Holliday is better vs right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Holliday does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Jackson Holliday hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Holliday hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Holliday hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

26.3% of Jackson Holliday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout +9.6% +6.3% 6%

Walk -0.4% -2.8% 54%

In Play -9.2% -3.5% 39%

On Base -6.1% -4.8% 31%

Hit -5.7% -2.0% 14%

Single -3.3% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -2.9% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -0.5%

41.7% of Jackson Holliday's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.3% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +9.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -9.1% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -6.3% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.8% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.0% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +3.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -2.9% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -0.7%

30.8% of Jackson Holliday's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.2% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -6.8% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.5% -0.7%

12.2% of Jackson Holliday's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.7% higher than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%