Matchup Machine

Jackson Holliday

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

43rd out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for J. Holliday

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Holliday
2

Model Prediction

Jackson Holliday has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 2.2% higher than Holliday's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%20.3%3.0%5.4%11.9%10.4%24.0%
Holliday+2.2+1.6+0.7+0.8+0.1+0.6-7.7
Lyles-3.0-3.9-0.4-0.4-3.1+0.9+5.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Holliday is better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Holliday has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Jackson Holliday has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

26.3% of Jackson Holliday's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.6% higher than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout +9.6% +0.8% 6%         Walk -0.4% -2.3% 54%         In Play -9.2% +1.5% 39%         On Base -6.1% -4.1% 31%         Hit -5.7% -1.7% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -2.9% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years