Matchup Machine

Trey Lipscomb

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matchup for Andrew Abbott

118th out of 436 (Best 28%)

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Andrew Abbott

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matchup for Trey Lipscomb

93rd out of 567 (Best 17%)

Leans in favor of Lipscomb
1

Model Prediction

Trey Lipscomb has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 3.1% higher than Lipscomb's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Abbott.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%23.5%2.0%4.7%16.7%7.7%22.0%
Lipscomb+3.1+2.0+0.4+0.8+0.8+1.0-2.8
Abbott-0.8+2.0-1.2-0.6+3.7-2.7-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Trey Lipscomb is worse vs left-handed pitching. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Lipscomb doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Trey Lipscomb hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of Trey Lipscomb's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.8% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -4.8% -1.6% 6%         Walk -0.1% +0.9% 51%         In Play +4.9% +0.7% 39%         On Base +3.4% -1.6% 31%         Hit +3.5% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.9% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -2.7% +0.2%

History

Trey Lipscomb has 3 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.080.000.041.040.361
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-21Flyout99%
2024-07-21Groundout16%84%
2024-07-21Single4%88%8%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.