Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Trey Lipscomb

matchup for A.J. Puk

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

A.J. Puk

matchup for Trey Lipscomb

562nd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Puk

Trey Lipscomb has a 21.7% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 6.5% lower than Lipscomb's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Puk.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	21.7%	17.6%	1.6%	3.1%	12.9%	4.0%	39.1%
Lipscomb	-6.5	-3.9	0.0	-0.9	-3.0	-2.7	+14.3
Puk	-3.0	-1.1	-1.0	-1.5	+1.4	-1.9	+1.8

Trey Lipscomb is worse vs left-handed pitching. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Lipscomb doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Trey Lipscomb hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

47%

Slider (L)

38%

Sinker (L)

13%

16% of A.J. Puk's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Trey Lipscomb hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Weak Challenge 9%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

30% of A.J. Puk's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Trey Lipscomb hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 30%

+27%

Large Break 36%

+14%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

Breaking (L) 38%

+9%

15.4% of Trey Lipscomb's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 8.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

20%

Strikeout -4.8% +8.0% 6%

Walk -0.1% -1.3% 51%

In Play +4.9% -6.8% 39%

On Base +3.4% -4.0% 31%

Hit +3.5% -2.7% 14%

Single +2.9% -1.3% 13%

2B / 3B +3.3% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -2.7% -0.4%

51.0% of Trey Lipscomb's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 16.6% higher than the league average. A.J. Puk induces Standard Grounders at a 32.6% rate, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +16.6% -1.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -3.2% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer +3.9% +2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -5.2% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -2.8% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +1.0% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout -6.2% +0.1% 3%

Pop up +3.9% +0.9%

12.0% of Trey Lipscomb's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 12.3% lower than the league average. 20.7% of batted balls allowed by A.J. Puk are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +6.2% +3.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +8.7% +1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.4% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.1% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -12.3% -3.6%

6.2% of Trey Lipscomb's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by A.J. Puk are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +20.9% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.4% -2.3% 8%

1 to 6° -4.6% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -11.1% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -2.6% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° -5.2% -1.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.1% +2.5% 8%

Above 50° +2.2% +1.1%

Trey Lipscomb has 1 plate appearance against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.27	0.00	0.00	0.26			0.268

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-16	Single			26%	73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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