Matchup Machine

Trey Lipscomb

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matchup for Luis Castillo

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

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Luis Castillo

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matchup for Trey Lipscomb

262nd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Castillo
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Model Prediction

Trey Lipscomb has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Luis Castillo, which is 0.1% higher than Lipscomb's typical expectations, and 2.5% lower than batters facing Castillo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%22.6%1.9%4.0%16.7%5.7%24.2%
Lipscomb+0.1+1.1+0.3+0.1+0.8-1.0-0.6
Castillo-2.5-0.6-1.2-1.1+1.6-1.8-0.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Trey Lipscomb is better vs right-handed pitching. Luis Castillo is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Lipscomb doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Luis Castillo throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Trey Lipscomb hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

15.4% of Trey Lipscomb's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Luis Castillo strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -4.8% +7.2% 6%         Walk -0.1% -1.4% 51%         In Play +4.9% -5.8% 39%         On Base +3.4% -5.8% 31%         Hit +3.5% -4.4% 14%         Single +2.9% -2.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -1.8% 3%         Home Run -2.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years