Matchup Machine

Alan Roden

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Alan Roden

533rd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Extreme advantage for Skubal
10

Model Prediction

Alan Roden has a 19.8% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 4.9% lower than Roden's typical expectations, and 5.5% lower than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction19.8%15.9%1.6%2.9%11.3%4.0%37.5%
Roden-4.9-2.2-0.4-0.8-1.0-2.7+4.2
Skubal-5.5-4.2-0.6-1.1-2.4-1.3+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Alan Roden hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Roden doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Alan Roden hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

8.3% of Alan Roden's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout -16.1% +6.3% 7%         Walk +0.0% -3.3% 66%         In Play +16.1% -3.0% 39%         On Base +0.8% -5.6% 31%         Hit +0.8% -2.3% 14%         Single -0.6% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +1.6% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years