Matchup Machine

Alan Roden

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matchup for Aaron Nola

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Alan Roden

423rd out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Extreme advantage for Nola
9

Model Prediction

Alan Roden has a 22.3% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.4% lower than Roden's typical expectations, and 7.2% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction22.3%17.5%2.5%4.6%10.4%4.8%40.4%
Roden-2.4-0.6+0.5+0.9-1.9-1.8+7.1
Nola-7.2-4.9-0.5-1.7-2.7-2.3+9.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Alan Roden hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Roden does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Alan Roden hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

8.3% of Alan Roden's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout -16.1% +6.3% 7%         Walk +0.0% -2.8% 66%         In Play +16.1% -3.5% 39%         On Base +0.8% -4.8% 31%         Hit +0.8% -2.0% 14%         Single -0.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.5%

History

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