Matchup Machine

Alan Roden

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matchup for Jon Gray

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Jon Gray

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matchup for Alan Roden

37th out of 567 (Best 7%)

Moderate advantage for Gray
3

Model Prediction

Alan Roden has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 3.9% higher than Roden's typical expectations, and 4.4% lower than batters facing Gray.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.6%23.9%2.6%4.2%17.1%4.8%24.8%
Roden+3.9+5.8+0.6+0.5+4.7-1.9-8.5
Gray-4.4-2.5-0.5-1.5-0.5-1.9+7.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Alan Roden hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Roden does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Alan Roden hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
47%
   Slider (R)
38%
   Changeup (R)
9%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.3% of Alan Roden's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 16.1% lower than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout -16.1% +3.8% 7%         Walk +0.0% -1.2% 66%         In Play +16.1% -2.6% 39%         On Base +0.8% -0.6% 31%         Hit +0.8% +0.6% 14%         Single -0.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.2% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +1.6% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years