Matchup Machine

Jackson Merrill

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Jackson Merrill

446th out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Strong advantage for Merrill
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Model Prediction

Jackson Merrill has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.9% lower than Merrill's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%25.3%3.2%6.4%15.8%6.6%17.6%
Merrill-1.9-1.4-1.1+0.5-0.8-0.4-0.2
Weathers+2.0+3.8+1.1+0.8+1.9-1.8-7.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Merrill is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Merrill doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -2.1% 5%         Walk -3.0% -0.6% 35%         In Play +10.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +2.7% +0.9% 31%         Hit +5.6% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +3.0% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years