matchup for Garrett Crochet
3
Jackson Merrill has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.9% lower than Merrill's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Crochet.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.9% | 26.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 17.1% | 4.9% | 27.4% |
| Merrill | -2.9 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -0.5 | +0.7 | -2.2 | +9.3 |
| Crochet | +3.4 | +5.1 | +0.9 | +0.5 | +3.7 | -1.6 | -7.8 |
Jackson Merrill is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Merrill doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
58%
Cutter (L)
18%
Slider (L)
16%
Changeup (L)
6%
9% of Garrett Crochet's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
9%
+4%
Mid Challenge
15%
+3%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Likely Ball
19%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
Meatball
2%
-4%
34% of Garrett Crochet's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 30% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has an A grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
34%
+30%
Fastball (L)
78%
+23%
Medium Break
34%
+15%
Medium Ride
26%
+12%
10.1% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.2% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Strikeout
-7.6%
+9.4%
5%
Walk
-3.0%
-1.3%
35%
In Play
+10.6%
-8.1%
39%
On Base
+2.6%
-3.9%
31%
Hit
+5.6%
-2.6%
14%
Single
+1.0%
-1.4%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.6%
-1.1%
3%
Home Run
+2.9%
0.0%
26.3% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet induces Standard Grounders at a 38.2% rate, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.3%
+0.7%
34%
Standard Grounder
-8.1%
+3.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.2%
+1.0%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.1%
-4.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+2.8%
-1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.6%
+1.2%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.0%
+1.2%
1%
No Doubter
-0.2%
-0.8%
20%
Routine Flyout
+1.1%
-1.0%
3%
Pop up
-0.9%
-0.4%
28.4% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. 27.6% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Crochet are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-1.8%
+1.9%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.6%
-1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
-0.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.3%
-4.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
+4.1%
+3.3%
14.8% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Garrett Crochet are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-6.1%
+4.6%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.9%
-1.8%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.1%
+1.6%
18%
7 to 18°
+3.2%
-2.8%
15%
19 to 28°
+1.5%
-1.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+3.4%
+0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
+2.5%
-0.8%
8%
Above 50°
-3.6%
-0.6%
Jackson Merrill has 1 plate appearance against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.000 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-09-20 | Strikeout | ||||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
