Matchup Machine

Jackson Merrill

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matchup for Cole Winn

424th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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Cole Winn

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matchup for Jackson Merrill

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Merrill
10

Model Prediction

Jackson Merrill has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Cole Winn, which is 2.3% higher than Merrill's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Winn.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%29.9%4.8%7.0%18.1%6.2%14.2%
Merrill+2.3+3.1+0.5+1.1+1.5-0.9-3.5
Winn+1.7+5.1+2.0+1.0+2.1-3.4-7.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Merrill is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Cole Winn is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Merrill has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cole Winn throws a 4-seam fastball 41% of the time. Jackson Merrill has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Splitter (R)
18%
   Sinker (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Cole Winn strikes out 11.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -4.3% 5%         Walk -3.0% -3.6% 35%         In Play +10.7% +7.9% 39%         On Base +2.7% +6.4% 31%         Hit +5.6% +10.0% 14%         Single +1.0% +5.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +6.0% 3%         Home Run +3.0% -1.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years