Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Merrill

matchup for Aaron Civale

428th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Aaron Civale

matchup for Jackson Merrill

320th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Extreme advantage for Merrill

Jackson Merrill has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 0.6% lower than Merrill's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Civale.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	25.9%	4.4%	5.1%	16.5%	7.2%	15.4%
Merrill	-0.6	-0.8	+0.1	-0.8	-0.1	+0.2	-2.3
Civale	+3.7	+4.5	+1.2	+0.8	+2.5	-0.8	-6.0

Jackson Merrill is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Merrill has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

32%

Sinker (R)

21%

Curve (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

11%

Slider (R)

10%

21% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

20% of Aaron Civale's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 20%

+15%

Medium Break 24%

+15%

Extreme Slow Velo 16%

+11%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% +0.4% 5%

Walk -3.0% -1.3% 35%

In Play +10.7% +1.0% 39%

On Base +2.7% -0.9% 31%

Hit +5.6% +0.5% 14%

Single +1.0% 0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.7% +0.3% 3%

Home Run +3.0% +0.1%

26.3% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Aaron Civale induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.3% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% -1.3% 9%

Rising Liner +2.8% +1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.2% -0.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +1.8%

28.5% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 25.0% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +0.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +0.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% -3.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.2% +0.7%

14.9% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Civale are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%