Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Merrill

matchup for Thyago Vieira

424th out of 436 (Worst 3%)

Thyago Vieira

matchup for Jackson Merrill

242nd out of 567 (Best 44%)

Extreme advantage for Merrill

Jackson Merrill has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 0.7% higher than Merrill's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Vieira.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	25.0%	4.4%	6.4%	14.2%	9.5%	18.3%
Merrill	+0.7	-1.8	+0.1	+0.6	-2.4	+2.5	+0.5
Vieira	+0.8	+4.8	+2.1	+1.8	+0.9	-4.1	-6.1

Jackson Merrill is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Merrill has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Jackson Merrill has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

42%

Slider (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

25%

14% of Thyago Vieira's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

33% of Thyago Vieira's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 33%

+25%

Large Break 36%

+15%

Medium Ride 29%

+15%

Fastball (R) 67%

+13%

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% -2.2% 5%

Walk -3.0% +4.2% 35%

In Play +10.7% -2.0% 39%

On Base +2.7% +1.5% 31%

Hit +5.6% -2.7% 14%

Single +1.0% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B +1.7% -1.6% 3%

Home Run +3.0% +0.9%

26.3% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira induces Standard Grounders at a 33.5% rate, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% -0.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.3% -2.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% +0.1% 9%

Rising Liner +2.8% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.2% +3.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +0.1%

28.5% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 24.1% of batted balls allowed by Thyago Vieira are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% -4.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% +0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +2.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.2% -0.2%

14.9% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Thyago Vieira are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.1% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% -2.8% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% -1.4% 18%

7 to 18° +3.3% -2.5% 15%

19 to 28° +1.5% +3.0% 11%

29 to 38° +3.4% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° +2.5% +1.4% 8%

Above 50° -3.6% +1.1%

Jackson Merrill has 3 plate appearances against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00			0.010

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-06	Walk
2024-06-08	Strikeout
2024-04-15	Flyout	1%			98%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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