Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jackson Merrill

matchup for Blake Treinen

429th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Blake Treinen

matchup for Jackson Merrill

478th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Strong advantage for Merrill

Jackson Merrill has a 30.8% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 3.0% lower than Merrill's typical expectations, and 3.7% higher than batters facing Treinen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.8%	23.3%	4.7%	5.0%	13.6%	7.5%	23.4%
Merrill	-3.0	-3.5	+0.4	-0.9	-3.0	+0.5	+5.7
Treinen	+3.7	+5.1	+2.1	+1.7	+1.4	-1.4	-8.6

Jackson Merrill is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Merrill has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Jackson Merrill has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

43%

Slider (R)

27%

Cutter (R)

15%

4-Seam (R)

14%

11% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 2%

-4%

41% of Blake Treinen's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 41%

+26%

Very Fast Velo 31%

+23%

Fastball (R) 71%

+18%

Just Gravity 28%

+15%

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% +7.1% 5%

Walk -3.0% -0.5% 35%

In Play +10.7% -6.6% 39%

On Base +2.7% -4.3% 31%

Hit +5.6% -3.8% 14%

Single +1.0% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B +1.7% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +3.0% -1.3%

26.3% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen induces Standard Grounders at a 42.1% rate, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +7.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.3% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% +0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +2.8% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% -2.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.2% -3.0% 3%

Pop up -0.8% +2.0%

28.5% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +7.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% +0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% -2.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% -3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.2% -2.8%

14.9% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Blake Treinen are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.1% +4.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +3.3% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +1.5% -5.8% 11%

29 to 38° +3.4% +0.8% 7%

39 to 50° +2.5% +0.8% 8%

Above 50° -3.6% +0.2%

Jackson Merrill has 4 plate appearances against Blake Treinen in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.99	0.96	0.11	0.92			0.497

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-10-09	Groundout			3%	97%
2024-09-26	Lineout			70%	30%
2024-07-30	Home Run	96%	1%		3%
2024-05-10	Lineout		10%	19%	71%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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