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Jackson Merrill

matchup for Joe Mantiply

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Joe Mantiply

matchup for Jackson Merrill

384th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Strong advantage for Merrill

Jackson Merrill has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 1.6% lower than Merrill's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.2%	27.7%	3.9%	5.7%	18.1%	4.5%	16.5%
Merrill	-1.6	+0.9	-0.4	-0.2	+1.5	-2.6	-1.2
Mantiply	+4.0	+4.7	+1.8	+0.3	+2.6	-0.7	-6.4

Jackson Merrill is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Merrill doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

42%

Curve (L)

29%

Changeup (L)

24%

14% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+5%

Chaser 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

61% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 45% higher than the MLB average. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 61%

+45%

Medium Drop 38%

+26%

Very Slow Velo 38%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+11%

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -7.7% +1.1% 5%

Walk -3.0% -3.1% 35%

In Play +10.7% +2.0% 39%

On Base +2.7% -2.8% 31%

Hit +5.6% +0.3% 14%

Single +1.0% +0.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.7% +0.2% 3%

Home Run +3.0% -0.1%

26.3% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply induces Standard Grounders at a 44.0% rate, which is 9.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +3.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.1% +9.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.3% +0.2% 14%

Low Screamer -0.2% -4.8% 9%

Rising Liner +2.8% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.7% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +2.0% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.2% -4.7% 3%

Pop up -0.8% -1.4%

28.5% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 21.6% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.9% +5.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.6% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.9% -3.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.2% +2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.2% -2.7%

14.9% of Jackson Merrill's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.4% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.1% +7.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.0% +3.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% +1.1% 18%

7 to 18° +3.3% -1.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.5% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° +3.4% -2.0% 7%

39 to 50° +2.5% -2.1% 8%

Above 50° -3.6% -4.5%

Jackson Merrill has 3 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.29	0.00	0.05	0.24			0.097

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-07	Groundout		5%	6%	89%
2024-06-09	Groundout			6%	94%
2024-06-06	Groundout			11%	89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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