Jackson Merrill has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.4% higher than Merrill's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Anderson.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.2% | 25.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% |
Merrill | +0.4 | -1.1 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -1.0 | +1.6 | -2.7 |
Anderson | +0.5 | +3.4 | +1.5 | +0.4 | +1.5 | -2.9 | -6.6 |
Jackson Merrill is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Merrill doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jackson Merrill has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.012 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-06-03 | Flyout | 100% | |||
2024-06-03 | Groundout | 3% | 97% | ||
2024-06-03 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.