Matchup Machine

Jackson Merrill

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

400th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Jackson Merrill

239th out of 567 (Best 43%)

Extreme advantage for Merrill
10

Model Prediction

Jackson Merrill has a 34.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.4% higher than Merrill's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.2%25.7%4.4%5.6%15.6%8.6%15.0%
Merrill+0.4-1.1+0.1-0.3-1.0+1.6-2.7
Anderson+0.5+3.4+1.5+0.4+1.5-2.9-6.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jackson Merrill is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Merrill doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Jackson Merrill hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

10.0% of Jackson Merrill's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 7.7% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -7.7% -1.9% 5%         Walk -3.0% -1.0% 35%         In Play +10.7% +2.9% 39%         On Base +2.7% -0.1% 31%         Hit +5.6% +0.9% 14%         Single +1.0% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +3.0% -0.2%

History

Jackson Merrill has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.000.030.012
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-03Flyout100%
2024-06-03Groundout3%97%
2024-06-03Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.