Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cam Smith

matchup for Seth Lugo

out of 436 (Worst %)

Seth Lugo

matchup for Cam Smith

363rd out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Extreme advantage for Lugo

Cam Smith has a 24.9% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.7% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 7.5% lower than batters facing Lugo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	24.9%	18.3%	1.8%	4.0%	12.5%	6.6%	35.9%
Smith	-0.7	+0.4	-0.2	+0.3	+0.3	-1.1	+3.1
Lugo	-7.5	-5.6	-1.3	-0.9	-3.4	-1.9	+11.0

Cam Smith hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed .

Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. Cam Smith hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

29%

Sinker (R)

17%

Slider (R)

13%

12% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Cam Smith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

41% of Seth Lugo's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 10% higher than the MLB average. Cam Smith hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

14.3% of Cam Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

24%

Strikeout -10.3% +0.8% 8%

Walk +20.6% -2.3% 67%

In Play -10.3% +1.4% 39%

On Base -0.2% -0.4% 31%

Hit -20.7% +1.9% 14%

Single -9.1% +0.7% 13%

2B / 3B -8.6% +1.1% 3%

Home Run -3.0% +0.1%

66.7% of Cam Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 32.3% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +1.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +32.3% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -15.0% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +2.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +13.2% -0.1% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -2.2%

0.0% of Cam Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 24.3% lower than the league average. 22.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +50.5% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -21.2% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -18.9% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +13.9% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -24.3% -1.6%

0.0% of Cam Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 11.4% lower than the league average. 14.0% of batted balls allowed by Seth Lugo are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%