Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cam Smith

matchup for Aaron Nola

out of 436 (Worst %)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Cam Smith

387th out of 567 (Worst 32%)

Extreme advantage for Nola

Cam Smith has a 23.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 2.1% lower than Smith's typical expectations, and 6.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	23.5%	17.3%	2.6%	4.7%	10.1%	6.2%	39.1%
Smith	-2.1	-0.6	+0.6	+0.9	-2.0	-1.6	+6.3
Nola	-6.0	-5.0	-0.4	-1.6	-3.0	-0.9	+8.2

Cam Smith hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Smith does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a 4-seam fastball 30% of the time. Cam Smith hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Cam Smith hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

30% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Cam Smith hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 30%

+15%

14.3% of Cam Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

24%

Strikeout -10.3% +6.3% 8%

Walk +20.6% -2.8% 67%

In Play -10.3% -3.5% 39%

On Base -0.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit -20.7% -2.0% 14%

Single -9.1% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -8.6% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -3.0% -0.5%

66.7% of Cam Smith's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 32.3% higher than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +32.3% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -7.8% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -15.0% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -9.6% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.3% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -3.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +13.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -3.4% -0.7%

0.0% of Cam Smith's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 24.3% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +50.5% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -21.2% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -18.9% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +13.9% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -24.3% -0.7%

0.0% of Cam Smith's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 11.4% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%