Matchup Machine

Cam Smith

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matchup for Martin Perez

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Cam Smith

86th out of 567 (Best 16%)

Moderate advantage for Perez
4

Model Prediction

Cam Smith has a 27.1% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.4% higher than Smith's typical expectations, and 7.5% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.1%19.9%2.6%4.3%12.9%7.2%24.8%
Smith+1.4+2.0+0.6+0.6+0.7-0.5-8.0
Perez-7.5-5.4-0.4-1.0-4.0-2.1+6.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Cam Smith hasn't faced much left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Changeup 25% of the time. Cam Smith hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Cam Smith's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.3% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 24%         Strikeout -10.3% -6.1% 8%         Walk +20.6% -0.3% 67%         In Play -10.3% +6.4% 39%         On Base -0.2% +5.9% 31%         Hit -20.7% +6.3% 14%         Single -9.1% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -8.6% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -3.0% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years