Matchup Machine

Ben Rice

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matchup for Jared Jones

260th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Ben Rice

272nd out of 567 (Best 49%)

Leans in favor of Rice
1

Model Prediction

Ben Rice has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.8% higher than Rice's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.9%19.3%4.0%5.2%10.2%11.5%34.1%
Rice+0.8+0.2+0.3+0.7-0.8+0.6+4.4
Jones-0.2-1.5+1.1+0.1-2.7+1.3+5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Ben Rice hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rice doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Ben Rice hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

22.2% of Ben Rice's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +3.0% +0.4% 5%         Walk +3.4% +0.6% 55%         In Play -6.5% -1.1% 39%         On Base -5.2% -0.1% 31%         Hit -8.6% -0.8% 14%         Single -6.2% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +3.4% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years