Matchup Machine

Ben Rice

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matchup for Taj Bradley

199th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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Taj Bradley

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matchup for Ben Rice

358th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Leans in favor of Bradley
2

Model Prediction

Ben Rice has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Taj Bradley, which is 0.8% lower than Rice's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Bradley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.3%19.2%3.8%4.4%11.0%10.1%32.5%
Rice-0.8+0.0+0.1-0.1+0.0-0.8+2.8
Bradley-1.4-3.4+1.2-0.4-4.2+2.0+6.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Ben Rice hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Taj Bradley is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rice doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taj Bradley throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Ben Rice hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

22.2% of Ben Rice's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Taj Bradley strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +3.0% +3.2% 5%         Walk +3.4% +0.4% 55%         In Play -6.5% -3.5% 39%         On Base -5.2% -1.3% 31%         Hit -8.6% -1.6% 14%         Single -6.2% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +3.4% +1.2%

History

Ben Rice has 3 plate appearances against Taj Bradley in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331010000.333
Expected From Contact →1.090.010.660.430.364
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-20Double65%13%21%
2024-07-20Groundout21%79%
2024-07-20Groundout9%91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.