Matchup Machine

Ben Rice

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matchup for Chris Bassitt

137th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Chris Bassitt

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matchup for Ben Rice

208th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Moderate advantage for Rice
3

Model Prediction

Ben Rice has a 33.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 3.5% higher than Rice's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Bassitt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.6%19.4%2.9%4.8%11.8%14.2%29.4%
Rice+3.5+0.3-0.8+0.3+0.8+3.3-0.3
Bassitt-1.6-4.9+0.7-0.4-5.1+3.3+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Ben Rice hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Rice doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Ben Rice hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
13%
   4-Seam (R)
10%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

22.2% of Ben Rice's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout +3.0% -0.4% 5%         Walk +3.4% +0.1% 55%         In Play -6.5% +0.3% 39%         On Base -5.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit -8.6% +1.4% 14%         Single -6.2% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -5.8% +1.0% 3%         Home Run +3.4% -0.4%

History

Ben Rice has 3 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual332011000.667
Expected From Contact →2.190.111.420.660.729
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-29Single40%50%11%
2024-06-29Double11%79%8%2%
2024-06-29Groundout23%8%69%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.