Matchup Machine

Jacob Young

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for Jacob Young

467th out of 567 (Worst 18%)

Moderate advantage for Gaddis
3

Model Prediction

Jacob Young has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 2.5% lower than Young's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%21.8%1.2%4.5%16.2%8.2%21.2%
Young-2.5-2.2-0.1-0.3-1.8-0.3+1.3
Gaddis+2.7+2.4-1.90.0+4.4+0.3-5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jacob Young is worse vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Young has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Jacob Young has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% -0.6% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.7% 37%         In Play +5.3% +2.4% 39%         On Base +4.1% -5.5% 31%         Hit +5.4% -3.8% 14%         Single +3.6% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% -2.4% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +1.5%

History

Jacob Young has 1 plate appearance against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.320.000.010.320.324
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-31Groundout32%68%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.