Jacob Young has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.6% lower than Young's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Crochet.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 29.9% | 23.2% | 1.3% | 5.6% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 27.7% |
Young | -2.6 | -0.8 | +0.0 | +0.8 | -1.7 | -1.8 | +7.7 |
Crochet | +2.5 | +2.3 | -1.1 | +0.5 | +2.8 | +0.2 | -7.6 |
Jacob Young is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Young doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Jacob Young has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers
12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jacob Young has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.97 | 0.323 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-15 | Single | 88% | 12% | ||
2024-05-15 | Groundout | 9% | 91% | ||
2024-05-15 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.