Matchup Machine

Jacob Young

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

338th out of 436 (Worst 23%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Jacob Young

485th out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
3

Model Prediction

Jacob Young has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.6% lower than Young's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%23.2%1.3%5.6%16.3%6.7%27.7%
Young-2.6-0.8+0.0+0.8-1.7-1.8+7.7
Crochet+2.5+2.3-1.1+0.5+2.8+0.2-7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Jacob Young is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Young doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Jacob Young has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% +9.4% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.3% 37%         In Play +5.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base +4.1% -3.9% 31%         Hit +5.4% -2.5% 14%         Single +3.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +0.1%

History

Jacob Young has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001100.333
Expected From Contact →0.970.000.000.970.323
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-15Single88%12%
2024-05-15Groundout9%91%
2024-05-15Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.