Matchup Machine

Jacob Young

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matchup for Logan Gilbert

254th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Logan Gilbert

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matchup for Jacob Young

559th out of 567 (Worst 2%)

Strong advantage for Gilbert
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Model Prediction

Jacob Young has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 7.4% lower than Young's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Gilbert.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction25.2%20.4%1.3%4.6%14.4%4.8%28.7%
Young-7.4-3.6+0.0-0.1-3.5-3.7+8.7
Gilbert+0.5+0.6-1.1-0.4+2.1-0.1-5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jacob Young is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Young has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jacob Young has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
29%
   Kn-Curve (R)
9%
   Splitter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% +4.3% 5%         Walk -1.3% -4.2% 37%         In Play +5.3% 0.0% 39%         On Base +4.1% -7.3% 31%         Hit +5.4% -3.1% 14%         Single +3.6% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +0.5%

History

Jacob Young has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.330.000.000.330.166
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-25Groundout30%70%
2024-05-25Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.