Jacob Young has a 25.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 7.4% lower than Young's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Gilbert.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 25.2% | 20.4% | 1.3% | 4.6% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 28.7% |
Young | -7.4 | -3.6 | +0.0 | -0.1 | -3.5 | -3.7 | +8.7 |
Gilbert | +0.5 | +0.6 | -1.1 | -0.4 | +2.1 | -0.1 | -5.9 |
Jacob Young is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Young has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jacob Young has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Jacob Young has 2 plate appearances against Logan Gilbert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.166 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-05-25 | Groundout | 30% | 70% | ||
2024-05-25 | Groundout | 3% | 97% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.