Jacob Young has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.8% higher than Young's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Webb.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.3% | 26.2% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 20.9% | 7.1% | 17.7% |
Young | +0.8 | +2.2 | -0.1 | -0.6 | +3.0 | -1.4 | -2.3 |
Webb | +1.2 | +1.5 | -1.2 | -1.0 | +3.7 | -0.3 | -4.4 |
Jacob Young is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Young has a D- grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Jacob Young has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers
12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Jacob Young has 2 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.84 | 0.549 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-05 | Groundout | 18% | 82% | ||
2024-08-05 | Double | 26% | 66% | 8% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.