Matchup Machine

Jacob Young

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matchup for Jose Berrios

180th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Jose Berrios

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matchup for Jacob Young

250th out of 567 (Best 45%)

Moderate advantage for Young
3

Model Prediction

Jacob Young has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Jose Berrios, which is 0.5% higher than Young's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Berrios.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.0%26.3%1.5%4.8%20.0%6.7%19.9%
Young+0.5+2.3+0.2+0.1+2.1-1.90.0
Berrios+0.7+1.6-1.4-0.4+3.4-0.9-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Jacob Young is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jose Berrios is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Young has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jose Berrios throws a Sinker 30% of the time. Jacob Young has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
30%
   Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
23%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

12.2% of Jacob Young's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.0% lower than the league average. Jose Berrios strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.0% +0.7% 5%         Walk -1.3% -0.8% 37%         In Play +5.3% +0.1% 39%         On Base +4.1% -0.3% 31%         Hit +5.4% +0.6% 14%         Single +3.6% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.0% +0.4% 3%         Home Run -2.3% +0.2%

History

Jacob Young has 2 plate appearances against Jose Berrios in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.390.000.060.330.196
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-29Lineout6%7%87%
2023-08-29Groundout26%74%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.