Matchup Machine

Hunter Goodman

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matchup for Aaron Civale

36th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Aaron Civale

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matchup for Hunter Goodman

405th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Strong advantage for Civale
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Model Prediction

Hunter Goodman has a 23.9% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Civale, which is 3.3% lower than Goodman's typical expectations, and 5.5% lower than batters facing Civale.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction23.9%19.6%3.7%4.0%11.9%4.4%27.4%
Goodman-3.3-2.3+0.2-1.0-1.5-1.0-2.5
Civale-5.5-1.9+0.5-0.4-2.0-3.6+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Goodman is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Civale is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Goodman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Civale throws a Cutter 32% of the time. Hunter Goodman hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
32%
   Sinker (R)
21%
   Curve (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
11%
   Slider (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

20.7% of Hunter Goodman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% higher than the league average. Aaron Civale strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +4.9% +0.4% 6%         Walk -4.0% -1.3% 47%         In Play -0.9% +1.0% 39%         On Base -8.5% -0.9% 31%         Hit -4.5% +0.5% 14%         Single -3.6% 0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +0.3% 3%         Home Run +2.2% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years