Matchup Machine

Hunter Goodman

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

367th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for Hunter Goodman

165th out of 567 (Best 30%)

Leans in favor of Goodman
1

Model Prediction

Hunter Goodman has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 1.3% higher than Goodman's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%25.5%3.2%7.1%15.2%3.1%25.9%
Goodman+1.3+3.6-0.3+2.1+1.8-2.3-4.0
Mantiply+0.4+2.4+1.0+1.7-0.3-2.1+3.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Hunter Goodman is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Goodman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Hunter Goodman hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

20.7% of Hunter Goodman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.9% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout +4.9% +1.1% 6%         Walk -4.0% -3.1% 47%         In Play -0.9% +2.0% 39%         On Base -8.5% -2.8% 31%         Hit -4.5% +0.3% 14%         Single -3.6% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B -3.1% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +2.2% -0.1%

History

Hunter Goodman has 1 plate appearance against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111010001.000
Expected From Contact →0.990.000.940.050.987
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-18Double94%5%1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.