Matchup Machine

James Wood

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matchup for Logan Webb

122nd out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for James Wood

345th out of 567 (Worst 39%)

Leans in favor of Webb
2

Model Prediction

James Wood has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.9% lower than Wood's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.4%22.8%1.6%4.6%16.6%8.6%24.8%
Wood-0.9+1.7-0.7+0.2+2.3-2.6-4.2
Webb-0.7-1.9-0.8-0.6-0.5+1.2+2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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James Wood is worse vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wood has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. James Wood hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

20.7% of James Wood's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +5.7% -0.8% 4%         Walk +3.2% -2.4% 48%         In Play -9.0% +3.2% 39%         On Base +4.9% +1.6% 31%         Hit +1.7% +4.0% 14%         Single +0.6% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +2.8% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -1.3%

History

James Wood has 3 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321001110.500
Expected From Contact →0.890.000.210.680.447
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-05Single21%68%11%
2024-08-05Strikeout
2024-08-05Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.