Matchup Machine

James Wood

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matchup for Seth Lugo

94th out of 436 (Best 22%)

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Seth Lugo

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matchup for James Wood

370th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Leans in favor of Lugo
2

Model Prediction

James Wood has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Seth Lugo, which is 0.4% higher than Wood's typical expectations, and 0.5% lower than batters facing Lugo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%21.4%1.9%4.5%15.1%10.5%30.5%
Wood-0.4+0.3-0.4+0.0+0.7-0.7+1.5
Lugo-0.5-2.5-1.2-0.5-0.8+2.0+5.6

Handedness and Release Point

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James Wood is worse vs right-handed pitching. Seth Lugo is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Wood has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Seth Lugo throws a 4-seam fastball 29% of the time. James Wood has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
29%
   Curve (R)
28%
   Sinker (R)
17%
   Slider (R)
13%
   Changeup (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.7% of James Wood's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Seth Lugo strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +5.7% +0.8% 4%         Walk +3.2% -2.3% 48%         In Play -9.0% +1.4% 39%         On Base +4.9% -0.4% 31%         Hit +1.7% +1.9% 14%         Single +0.6% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +1.1% 3%         Home Run +0.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years