Matchup Machine

James Wood

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matchup for Jon Gray

53rd out of 436 (Best 13%)

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Jon Gray

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matchup for James Wood

235th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Leans in favor of Wood
2

Model Prediction

James Wood has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 0.9% lower than Wood's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Gray.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%23.8%2.6%4.6%16.6%7.7%21.8%
Wood-0.9+2.7+0.3+0.2+2.2-3.5-7.2
Gray-1.6-2.6-0.5-1.1-1.0+1.0+4.8

Handedness and Release Point

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James Wood is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Wood does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. James Wood has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
47%
   Slider (R)
38%
   Changeup (R)
9%
   Curve (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

20.7% of James Wood's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.7% higher than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +5.7% +3.8% 4%         Walk +3.2% -1.2% 48%         In Play -9.0% -2.6% 39%         On Base +4.9% -0.6% 31%         Hit +1.7% +0.6% 14%         Single +0.6% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.1% -0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years