Matchup Machine

Brett Harris

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matchup for Aaron Nola

14th out of 436 (Best 4%)

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Aaron Nola

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matchup for Brett Harris

493rd out of 567 (Worst 13%)

Extreme advantage for Nola
9

Model Prediction

Brett Harris has a 24.5% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 4.3% lower than Harris's typical expectations, and 5.0% lower than batters facing Nola.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.5%17.6%2.0%5.3%10.3%6.8%38.5%
Harris-4.3-1.8+0.2+1.1-3.1-2.5+10.3
Nola-5.0-4.7-1.0-0.9-2.8-0.3+7.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Brett Harris hasn't faced much right-handed pitching. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Harris does't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Brett Harris hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Kn-Curve (R)
30%
   4-Seam (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Cutter (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

18.6% of Brett Harris's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 21%         Strikeout -3.2% +6.3% 6%         Walk +6.5% -2.8% 59%         In Play -3.3% -3.5% 39%         On Base -1.1% -4.8% 31%         Hit -7.6% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.6% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -3.2% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years